Why OCC Stock dropped -8.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$11.53 -8.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.34

Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $111.1M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Optical Cable Corporation (NASDAQ: OCC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $11.53 (-8.27% 1D, market cap $111.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OCC ranks #262 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OCC compare to APWC and BDC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Telecommunications Equipment), OCC carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.9%, and ROIC of -2.0%. By comparison, APWC (Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corporation Ltd. (Bermuda)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $48.7M) and BDC (Belden Inc) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $4.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BDC leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while BDC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCC?
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Per OCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001000230), Optical Cable Corporation generated $73.0M in revenue (+9.5% YoY), -$1.5M in net income, and $1.1M in free cash flow against $38.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.34 (-1.68%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (5)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$29 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE OCC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OCC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OCC SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.5% FCF Margin ($1.1M FCF) & 30.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$15.29-14.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$13.05-11.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$11.58-0.4% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$11.53-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OCC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OCC currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.08) and Max Pain ($12.11) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OCC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OCC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why OCC Stock dropped -8.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) dropped -8.27% to $11.53, trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($4.02 – $27.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($4.02 – $27.98) with RSI-14 at 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $11.53 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 30.9% gross margin and $1.1M annual free cash flow.
Live OCC Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OCC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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OCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.17%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $12.62H $12.62L $11.53C $11.53VOL 68.2K
RES: $18.80SUP: $10.49SMA50: $14.08SMA200: $12.30
$29.43$23.41$17.38$11.36$5.33RES $18.80SUP $10.49$11.532026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OCC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OCC)

Industrials Rank #262 of 485 ⚔️ APWC vs OCC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OCC vs. APWC, BDC, GLW, SIDU)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) ranks #262 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #372 by equity capitalization ($111.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BDC leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while BDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.5% ROIC and 38.0% gross margin. BDC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with OCC at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OCC ACTIVE
Optical Cable Corporation
D 48/100 — 30.9% -2.0% -8.27% $111.1M Benchmark Subject
APWC
Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corporation Ltd. (Bermuda)
D 51/100 — — — -1.69% $48.7M /apwc-vs-occ →
BDC
Belden Inc
D+ 58/100 17.7x 38.0% 11.5% -1.66% $4.20B /bdc-vs-occ →
GLW
Corning Incorporated
D+ 54/100 69.6x 36.0% 9.9% -4.32% $111.02B /glw-vs-occ →
SIDU
Sidus Space Inc. (Class A)
E 21/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -6.03% $117.4M /sidu-vs-occ →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0001000230

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) reported GAAP revenue of $73.0M (+9.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $66.7M ) , GAAP net income of -$1.5M, operating cash flow of $1.4M, and free cash flow of $1.1M (+191.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OCC closed FY2025 with $38.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.13, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-31 $73.0M -$1.5M $1.4M $1.1M $38.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-10-31 $66.7M -$4.2M -$857.0K -$1.2M $37.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-31 $0 $2.1M -$395.7K -$395.7K — —

3. OCC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Optical Cable Corporation (NASDAQ: OCC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $11.53 (-8.27% 1D, market cap $111.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OCC ranks #262 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OCC compare to APWC and BDC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Telecommunications Equipment), OCC carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.9%, and ROIC of -2.0%. By comparison, APWC (Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corporation Ltd. (Bermuda)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $48.7M) and BDC (Belden Inc) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $4.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BDC leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while BDC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCC?

Per OCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001000230), Optical Cable Corporation generated $73.0M in revenue (+9.5% YoY), -$1.5M in net income, and $1.1M in free cash flow against $38.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OCC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OCC last traded at $11.53 (-8.27% on volume of 78,403 shares), positioning the stock -18.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.08) and -6.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.30). Across its 52-week range of $4.02 to $27.98, OCC sits at the 31.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.09 to $12.97).

OCC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is OCC stock moving today?

Why OCC Stock dropped -8.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OCC — Optical Cable Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:41Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OCC scores 48 out of 100, grade D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC of -2%; FCF yield of 1.01%); Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 6.13; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the two ownership-flow pillars, each at 5/20, which indicate that the rating system found little positive institutional or insider signal. The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet at 14/20, which carries a relatively high Altman Z reading and a moderate Piotroski score, suggesting that near-term solvency is not the principal concern in this dataset. The cash-generation pillar at 13/20 is weighed down by negative ROIC and a thin 1.01% FCF yield, which means the current price offers limited cash return relative to its value. Upside drivers in this framework would need to come from improved operating returns or a rebound in flow signals, while the valuation tradeoff is that a small market capitalization paired with negative returns on capital leaves little margin for error. The overall picture is a profile that the rating frames as a distribution warning rather than an accumulation setup.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$73.0M$-0.5M$-1.5MN/A$1.1M$0.1MN/A
FY 2024$66.7M$-3.4M$-4.2MN/A$-1.2M$0.1MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$1.0M$2.1MN/A$-0.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $66.7M in FY 2024 to $73.0M in FY 2025 while the operating loss narrowed from $-3.4M to $-0.5M, and free cash flow moved to $1.1M from $-1.2M. Per the market data, gross margin is 30.9%, operating margin is -0.6%, and net margin is -2%, with ROIC at -2%. The per-share and debt figures are not reported in the source data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.13, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5, which together describe a balance sheet the forensic pillar rates moderately despite negative profitability.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to OCC. A StockInvest.us forecast piece and a MarketBeat report noting the stock breaking below its 200-day moving average are flagged YELLOW, as are several Yahoo Finance seasonal-returns items and a Binance-hosted post. A marketscreener.com item titled "China's Industrial Profit Growth Surged in September" is flagged GREEN and categorized as a CATALYST, though the source does not explicitly connect it to OCC's operations. Risk watch items include the 200-day moving average break noted in the MarketBeat headline. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain catalyst is available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are OCC's product lines and customer concentration, given that the profile only classifies the company within Telecommunications Equipment?
  • What are the reported EPS, debt, and cash figures for FY 2025, since several financial fields are listed as N/A or unavailable?
  • What explains the $-1.5M FY 2025 net loss relative to the $2.1M FY 2023 net income, and is the trend toward operating breakeven expected to continue?
  • Which specific institutional or insider transactions underlie the 5/20 ownership-flow scores, given that the holders section is empty?
  • How does the marketscreener.com industrial profit headline relate to OCC's business, if at all?

OCC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OCC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OCC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.53?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OCC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OCC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $13.58 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OCC (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $12.57?

Welcome to the OCC (Optical Cable Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Telecommunications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.31 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $12.57

Pump the brakes on OCC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OCC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 30.9% gross margins. Unless Optical Cable Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.84 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $12.57

OCC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OCC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Telecommunications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.57 (52-wk range $4.02 - $27.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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