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NextCure Inc. (NXTC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$6.53 +2.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.55

NextCure Inc. (NXTC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $29.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NXTC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NXTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, NextCure Inc. (NASDAQ: NXTC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $6.53 (+2.92% 1D, market cap $29.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NXTC ranks #564 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NXTC compare to RMTI and RNAZ in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NXTC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RMTI (Rockwell Medical Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.6%, cap $29.5M) and RNAZ (TransCode Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXTC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RMTI leads on capital efficiency (-10.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXTC?

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Per NXTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001661059), NextCure Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$55.8M in net income, and -$49.6M in free cash flow against $50.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.55 (+0.34%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NXTC SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$6.64-14.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$5.67-7.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$5.22+25.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$6.53-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NXTC currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.10) and Max Pain ($6.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXTC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NXTC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

56.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE35% OF RANGE

L: $2$6.53H: $16

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NXTC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (30)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (38)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NXTC

✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXTC)

✓Walkthrough of NXTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NXTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.79%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-11-02O $6.34H $6.53L $6.34C $6.53VOL 58.3K

RES: $7.38SUP: $4.58SMA50: $6.10SMA200: $7.82

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NXTC Butterfly Map → + Track NXTC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXTC)

Health Care Rank #564 of 1016 ⚔️ RMTI vs NXTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NXTC vs. RMTI, RNAZ, BCTX, AARD)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextCure Inc. (NXTC) ranks #564 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #805 by equity capitalization ($29.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NXTC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RMTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -10.6% ROIC and 16.9% gross margin. BCTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 40/100 (D-) compared with NXTC at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NXTC ACTIVE NextCure Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	+2.92%	$29.9M	Benchmark Subject
RMTI Rockwell Medical Inc.	E	25/100	—	16.9%	-10.6%	0.00%	$29.5M	/rmti-vs-nxtc →
RNAZ TransCode Therapeutics Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.57%	$29.3M	/rnaz-vs-nxtc →
BCTX BriaCell Therapeutics Corp.	D-	40/100	—	—	—	-5.43%	$28.9M	/bctx-vs-nxtc →
AARD Aardvark Therapeutics Inc.	E	33/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.64%	$31.5M	/aard-vs-nxtc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001661059

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NextCure Inc. (NXTC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$55.8M, operating cash flow of -$49.6M, and free cash flow of -$49.6M (-20.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXTC closed FY2025 with $50.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$55.8M	-$49.6M	-$49.6M	$50.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$55.7M	-$40.8M	-$41.3M	$80.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$62.7M	-$53.0M	-$53.0M	—	—

3. NXTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NXTC compare to RMTI and RNAZ in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXTC?

Where is NXTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXTC last traded at $6.53 (+2.92% on volume of 58,262 shares), positioning the stock +7.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.10) and -16.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.82). Across its 52-week range of $1.55 to $15.74, NXTC sits at the 35.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.71 to $7.35).

NXTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NXTC stock right now?

NextCure Inc. (NXTC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NXTC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NXTC's 12-month base price target is $5.97 (range $4.66 to $16.53), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NXTC RQD Cockpit NXTC 12M Forecast NXTC Earnings & Move NXTC Dividends & DRIP NXTC Insiders & 13F NXTC Whale Options NXTC Profit Sankey NXTC News & Why