Stock Ratings / Health Care / NXGL / earnings

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NexGel Inc (NXGL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: Where is NXGL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXGL last traded at $3.88 (-3.72% on volume of 14,593 shares), positioning the stock -24.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.14) and -69.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.53). Across its 52-week range of $3.00 to $53.60, NXGL sits at the 1.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.40 to $4.36).

Q: When is NXGL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, NexGel Inc (NXGL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is NXGL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for NXGL, spanning a range between $3.4 and $4.36.

$3.88 -3.72% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.85

NexGel Inc (NXGL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NXGL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NXGL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, NexGel Inc (NASDAQ: NXGL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $3.88 (-3.72% 1D, market cap $1.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NXGL ranks #906 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NXGL compare to BJDX and IVF in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), NXGL carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BJDX (Bluejay Diagnostics Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.4M) and IVF (INVO Fertility Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXGL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NXGL leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXGL?

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Per NXGL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001468929), NexGel Inc generated $11.4M in revenue (+31.5% YoY), -$3.0M in net income, and -$1.4M in free cash flow against $10.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.85 (-0.86%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXGL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NXGL SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$4.00+39.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$5.59-10% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$5.03-22.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$3.88-9.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXGL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NXGL currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.14) and Max Pain ($4.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $56.28.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXGL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NXGL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.48 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NXGL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 32/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 31.5%

Model Bullish Setup (32/100)Model Risk Weight (68/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$11.4M	-$3.0M	-$1.4M	39.5%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$8.7M	-$3.3M	-$4.3M	31.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$4.1M	-$3.2M	-$3.2M	39.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXGL)

✓Walkthrough of NXGL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NXGL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.12%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $3.75H $3.89L $3.50C $3.88VOL 60.1K

RES: $9.13SUP: $0.60SMA50: $5.14SMA200: $12.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXGL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NXGL Butterfly Map → + Track NXGL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +31.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXGL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXGL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXGL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXGL)

Health Care Rank #906 of 1016 ⚔️ BJDX vs NXGL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NXGL vs. BJDX, IVF, VJET, ICCM)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NexGel Inc (NXGL) ranks #906 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #999 by equity capitalization ($1.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NXGL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NXGL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. ICCM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with NXGL at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NXGL ACTIVE NexGel Inc	E	32/100	—	39.5%	-35.0%	-3.72%	$1.9M	Benchmark Subject
BJDX Bluejay Diagnostics Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-35.0%	-5.08%	$2.4M	/bjdx-vs-nxgl →
IVF INVO Fertility Inc.	D-	43/100	—	96.0%	-35.0%	-3.60%	$2.5M	/ivf-vs-nxgl →
VJET Flyte Aviation Inc.	D	45/100	—	92.3%	-35.0%	+2.94%	$1.4M	/vjet-vs-nxgl →
ICCM IceCure Medical Ltd.	D	46/100	—	36.3%	-35.0%	-2.13%	$3.3M	/iccm-vs-nxgl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001468929

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NexGel Inc (NXGL) reported GAAP revenue of $11.4M (+31.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.7M , and +179.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.0M, operating cash flow of -$1.3M, and free cash flow of -$1.4M (+68.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXGL closed FY2025 with $10.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$11.4M	-$3.0M	-$1.3M	-$1.4M	$10.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$8.7M	-$3.3M	-$3.9M	-$4.3M	$11.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.1M	-$3.2M	-$3.2M	-$3.2M	—	—

3. NXGL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXGL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NXGL compare to BJDX and IVF in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXGL?

Where is NXGL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXGL last traded at $3.88 (-3.72% on volume of 14,593 shares), positioning the stock -24.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.14) and -69.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.53). Across its 52-week range of $3.00 to $53.60, NXGL sits at the 1.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.40 to $4.36).