Stock Ratings / Technology / NXDR / forecast

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Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NXDR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.30 -2.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.28

Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NXDR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $889.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.28 (-0.72%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXDR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NXDR SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.04 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.3% FCF Margin ($5.9M FCF) & 84.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.50+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$2.51-4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$2.41-4.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.30-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXDR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NXDR currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.35) and Max Pain ($2.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.78.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXDR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NXDR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NXDR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.30: 4347.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.72

$7,478

$-2,522 (-25.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.20

$9,565

$-435 (-4.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.78

$12,087

+$2,087 (+20.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$3	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXDR)

✓Walkthrough of NXDR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NXDR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.50%

2026-10-30O $2.27H $2.30L $2.19C $2.30VOL 1.65M

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXDR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NXDR Butterfly Map → + Track NXDR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXDR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXDR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXDR)

Technology Rank #437 of 714 ⚔️ TBLA vs NXDR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NXDR vs. TBLA, DSP, CEVA, SIFY)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NXDR) ranks #437 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #360 by equity capitalization ($889.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TBLA leads on earnings valuation at 21.0x trailing P/E, while DSP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.5% ROIC and 45.8% gross margin. TBLA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with NXDR at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NXDR ACTIVE Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D	48/100	—	84.1%	-15.4%	-2.95%	$889.8M	Benchmark Subject
TBLA Taboola.com Ltd.	B-	70/100	21.0x	29.8%	3.9%	+1.15%	$887.4M	/tbla-vs-nxdr →
DSP Viant Technology Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	106.2x	45.8%	21.5%	-6.71%	$887.1M	/dsp-vs-nxdr →
CEVA CEVA Inc.	D-	35/100	—	87.1%	-3.0%	-0.68%	$905.2M	/ceva-vs-nxdr →
SIFY Sify Technologies Limited	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+0.40%	$914.8M	/sify-vs-nxdr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001846069

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NXDR) reported GAAP revenue of $257.6M (+4.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $247.3M , and +18.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$54.2M, operating cash flow of $6.5M, and free cash flow of $5.9M (+128.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXDR closed FY2025 with $486.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.04, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$257.6M	-$54.2M	$6.5M	$5.9M	$486.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$247.3M	-$98.1M	-$20.2M	-$20.6M	$514.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$218.3M	$147.8M	-$59.3M	-$59.3M	—	—

3. NXDR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: NXDR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $2.30 (-2.95% 1D, market cap $889.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NXDR ranks #437 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NXDR compare to TBLA and DSP in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), NXDR carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 84.1%, and ROIC of -15.4%. By comparison, TBLA (Taboola.com Ltd.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $887.4M) and DSP (Viant Technology Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 106.2x, ROIC 21.5%, cap $887.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TBLA leads on earnings multiple (21.0x) while DSP leads on capital efficiency (21.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXDR?

Per NXDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001846069), Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $257.6M in revenue (+4.2% YoY), -$54.2M in net income, and $5.9M in free cash flow against $486.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NXDR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXDR last traded at $2.30 (-2.95% on volume of 1,536,247 shares), positioning the stock -2.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.35) and -6.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.47). Across its 52-week range of $2.19 to $2.65, NXDR sits at the 23.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($2.08 to $2.52).

NXDR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NXDR's 12-month stock price target?

Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NXDR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.2 (-4.3% from $2.30), with a bull-case target of $2.78 and a bear-case floor of $1.72.