MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why NX Stock surged +4.85% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$20.76 +4.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.90
Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $951.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.90 (+0.68%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 5.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NX SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 79% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$18.29+3.3% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$18.89+5.9% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$20.00+3.8% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$20.76-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NX Turnaround Squeeze
While NX currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.79) and Max Pain ($21.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.50.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NX Stock surged +4.85% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) surged +4.85% to $20.76, trading at 79% of its 52-week range ($11.04 – $23.33). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 79% of its 52-week range ($11.04 – $23.33) with RSI-14 at 58 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.5% around $20.76 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 27.2% gross margin and $102.3M annual free cash flow.
Live NX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NX)
- ✓Walkthrough of NX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.11%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $20.64H $21.06L $20.51C $20.76VOL 329.0K
RES: $24.54SUP: $18.08SMA50: $19.79SMA200: $19.09
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +43.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NX)
Industrials Rank #302 of 485
⚔️ ELMT vs NX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NX vs. ELMT, NWCL, TSAT, RYZ)
Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) ranks #302 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #257 by equity capitalization ($951.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RYZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -3.4% ROIC and 17.1% gross margin. RYZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with NX at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NX
ACTIVE
Quanex Building Products Corporation | D | 50/100 | — | 27.2% | -22.9% | +4.85% | $951.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| ELMT The Elmet Group Co. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +1.95% | $733.5M | /elmt-vs-nx → |
| NWCL newcleo plc | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -1.91% | $1.30B | /nwcl-vs-nx → |
| TSAT Telesat Corporation and Class B Variable Voting Shares (Class A) | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -6.65% | $1.54B | /tsat-vs-nx → |
| RYZ Ryerson Holding Corporation | D+ | 54/100 | — | 17.1% | -3.4% | +4.48% | $1.60B | /ryz-vs-nx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0001423221In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.84B (+43.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.28B , and +62.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$250.8M, operating cash flow of $164.9M, and free cash flow of $102.3M (+97.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NX closed FY2025 with $1.98B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.37, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-10-31 | $1.84B | -$250.8M | $164.9M | $102.3M | $1.98B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-10-31 | $1.28B | $33.1M | $88.8M | $51.7M | $2.22B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-10-31 | $1.13B | $82.5M | $147.1M | $147.1M | — | — |
3. NX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NYSE: NX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $20.76 (+4.85% 1D, market cap $951.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NX ranks #302 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NX compare to ELMT and NWCL in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), NX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -22.9%. By comparison, ELMT (The Elmet Group Co.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $733.5M) and NWCL (newcleo plc) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RYZ leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NX?
Per NX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001423221), Quanex Building Products Corporation generated $1.84B in revenue (+43.8% YoY), -$250.8M in net income, and $102.3M in free cash flow against $1.98B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NX last traded at $20.76 (+4.85% on volume of 393,762 shares), positioning the stock +4.90% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.79) and +8.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.09). Across its 52-week range of $11.04 to $23.33, NX sits at the 79.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($18.79 to $22.73).
NX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NX stock moving today?
Why NX Stock surged +4.85% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.