Stock Ratings / Technology / NVTS / financials

LASR (61) UCTT (43) POWI (64) IMOS (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$9.20 -1.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.15

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.40B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.15 (-0.50%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NVTS SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 31% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$10.78-22.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.34+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$8.38+9.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$9.20-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NVTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NVTS currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.90) and Max Pain ($9.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.88.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVTS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NVTS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How NVTS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $79.5M

FY24

Rev $83.3M

FY25

Rev $45.9M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$45.9M	31%	-80%	-$117.0M	-$44.4M	-41.2%
FY 2024	$83.3M	34%	-80%	-$84.6M	-$65.6M	-39.5%
FY 2023	$79.5M	31%	-80%	-$145.4M	-$41.4M	-35%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NVTS)

✓Walkthrough of NVTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NVTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.24%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $8.50H $9.20L $8.12C $9.20VOL 14.77M

RES: $12.12SUP: $2.71SMA50: $10.90SMA200: $13.32

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NVTS Butterfly Map → + Track NVTS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -44.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVTS)

Technology Rank #515 of 714 ⚔️ LASR vs NVTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NVTS vs. LASR, UCTT, POWI, IMOS)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) ranks #515 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #276 by equity capitalization ($2.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POWI leads on earnings valuation at 124.0x trailing P/E, while POWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and 54.5% gross margin. POWI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with NVTS at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NVTS ACTIVE Navitas Semiconductor Corporation	D-	42/100	—	31.0%	-35.0%	-1.71%	$2.40B	Benchmark Subject
LASR nLIGHT Inc.	C-	61/100	—	29.8%	-16.4%	+1.33%	$2.25B	/lasr-vs-nvts →
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.	D-	43/100	—	15.7%	-9.8%	-2.11%	$2.62B	/uctt-vs-nvts →
POWI Power Integrations Inc.	C	64/100	124.0x	54.5%	1.3%	-0.59%	$2.74B	/powi-vs-nvts →
IMOS ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-4.10%	$2.08B	/imos-vs-nvts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001821769

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) reported GAAP revenue of $45.9M (-44.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.3M , and -42.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$117.0M, operating cash flow of -$42.9M, and free cash flow of -$44.4M (+32.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVTS closed FY2025 with $500.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 23.85, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$45.9M	-$117.0M	-$42.9M	-$44.4M	$500.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$83.3M	-$84.6M	-$58.8M	-$65.6M	$390.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$79.5M	-$145.4M	-$41.4M	-$41.4M	—	—

3. NVTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: NVTS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $9.20 (-1.71% 1D, market cap $2.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NVTS ranks #515 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NVTS compare to LASR and UCTT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), NVTS carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LASR (nLIGHT Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.4%, cap $2.25B) and UCTT (Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.8%, cap $2.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POWI leads on earnings multiple (124.0x) while POWI leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVTS?

Per NVTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821769), Navitas Semiconductor Corporation generated $45.9M in revenue (-44.9% YoY), -$117.0M in net income, and -$44.4M in free cash flow against $500.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NVTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVTS last traded at $9.20 (-1.71% on volume of 7,645,983 shares), positioning the stock -15.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.90) and -30.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.32). Across its 52-week range of $6.85 to $34.17, NVTS sits at the 8.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.05 to $10.35).

NVTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), NVTS converted $45.9M of revenue into a 31% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: NVTS RQD Cockpit NVTS 12M Forecast NVTS Earnings & Move NVTS Dividends & DRIP NVTS Insiders & 13F NVTS Whale Options NVTS Profit Sankey NVTS News & Why