Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NTRP / insiders

TOUR (44) YTRA (53) PAL (41) SRFM (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.27 -9.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.24

NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $19.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.24 (-1.98%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTRP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NTRP SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.07-34.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.36+2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.39-8.6% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.27-10.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NTRP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NTRP currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.60) and Max Pain ($1.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.04.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTRP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NTRP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NTRP Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NTRP)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NTRP. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NTRP)

✓Walkthrough of NTRP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NTRP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.53%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $1.27H $1.31L $1.23C $1.27VOL 47.9K

RES: $2.23SUP: $0.05SMA50: $1.60SMA200: $2.27

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTRP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NTRP Butterfly Map → + Track NTRP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTRP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTRP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTRP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTRP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #983 of 1011 ⚔️ TOUR vs NTRP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NTRP vs. TOUR, YTRA, PAL, SRFM)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) ranks #983 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #887 by equity capitalization ($19.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOUR leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while TOUR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.1% ROIC and 58.0% gross margin. YTRA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with NTRP at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NTRP ACTIVE NextTrip Inc.	E	26/100	—	—	-35.0%	-9.93%	$19.3M	Benchmark Subject
TOUR Tuniu Corporation	D	44/100	11.5x	58.0%	1.1%	-1.05%	$51.1M	/tour-vs-ntrp →
YTRA Yatra Online Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	—	-9.13%	$52.9M	/ytra-vs-ntrp →
PAL Proficient Auto Logistics Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	-11.6%	-2.02%	$67.9M	/pal-vs-ntrp →
SRFM Surf Air Mobility Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	-35.0%	+0.91%	$105.1M	/srfm-vs-ntrp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0000788611

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) reported GAAP revenue of $3.7M (+641.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $501.4K , and +709.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.2M, operating cash flow of -$4.6M, and free cash flow of -$4.6M (+10.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTRP closed FY2025 with $14.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-02-28	$3.7M	$16.2M	-$4.6M	-$4.6M	$14.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-28	$501.4K	$10.2M	-$5.1M	-$5.1M	$5.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-29	$458.8K	$7.3M	-$5.7M	-$5.7M	—	—

3. NTRP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTRP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NextTrip Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.27 (-9.93% 1D, market cap $19.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NTRP ranks #983 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTRP compare to TOUR and YTRA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), NTRP carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TOUR (Tuniu Corporation) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 1.1%, cap $51.1M) and YTRA (Yatra Online Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOUR leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while TOUR leads on capital efficiency (1.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTRP?

Per NTRP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000788611), NextTrip Inc. generated $3.7M in revenue (+641.0% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and -$4.6M in free cash flow against $14.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTRP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTRP last traded at $1.27 (-9.93% on volume of 90,538 shares), positioning the stock -20.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.60) and -44.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.27). Across its 52-week range of $0.90 to $4.80, NTRP sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.11 to $1.43).

NTRP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are NTRP insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NTRP leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: NTRP RQD Cockpit NTRP 12M Forecast NTRP Earnings & Move NTRP Dividends & DRIP NTRP Insiders & 13F NTRP Whale Options NTRP Profit Sankey NTRP News & Why