Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.49 -0.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.46

Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $71.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.46 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$11 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE NTIC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NTIC SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($916.5K FCF) & 37.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$7.69+0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$7.71+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$7.71-2.9% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$7.49-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NTIC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NTIC currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.81) and Max Pain ($7.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTIC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NTIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE5% OF RANGE
L: $7$7.49H: $10
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (38% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on NTIC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

3.1% ROIC with 37.6% gross margin and 1.29% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NTIC
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NTIC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NTIC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NTIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.37%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.50H $7.53L $7.49C $7.49VOL 500
RES: $7.77SUP: $7.21SMA50: $7.81SMA200: $8.22
$9.11$8.67$8.23$7.79$7.35RES $7.77SUP $7.21$7.492026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTIC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTIC)

Industrials Rank #318 of 485 ⚔️ AMRO vs NTIC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NTIC vs. AMRO, BOOM, OFLX, FGI)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) ranks #318 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #390 by equity capitalization ($71.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OFLX leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while OFLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.2% ROIC and 60.0% gross margin. OFLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with NTIC at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NTIC ACTIVE
Northern Technologies International Corporation
D 49/100 — 37.6% 3.1% -0.93% $71.1M Benchmark Subject
AMRO
Amaero Inc.
D 50/100 — — — -1.36% $137.8M /amro-vs-ntic →
BOOM
DMC Global Inc.
D+ 55/100 — 22.2% 0.0% +9.70% $174.2M /boom-vs-ntic →
OFLX
Omega Flex Inc.
B+ 78/100 18.0x 60.0% 43.2% +5.93% $266.9M /oflx-vs-ntic →
FGI
FGI Industries Ltd.
D- 43/100 — 27.0% -12.3% +16.85% $16.2M /fgi-vs-ntic →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000875582

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) reported GAAP revenue of $84.2M (-1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $85.1M , and +5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.6K, operating cash flow of $2.4M, and free cash flow of $916.5K (-76.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTIC closed FY2025 with $104.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $84.2M $17.6K $2.4M $916.5K $104.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $85.1M $5.4M $5.9M $4.0M $94.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $79.9M $2.9M $5.5M $5.5M — —

3. NTIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Northern Technologies International Corporation (NASDAQ: NTIC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $7.49 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $71.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NTIC ranks #318 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTIC compare to AMRO and BOOM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), NTIC carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.6%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, AMRO (Amaero Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $137.8M) and BOOM (DMC Global Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $174.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTIC?

Per NTIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000875582), Northern Technologies International Corporation generated $84.2M in revenue (-1.0% YoY), $17.6K in net income, and $916.5K in free cash flow against $104.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTIC last traded at $7.49 (-0.93% on volume of 1,369 shares), positioning the stock -4.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.81) and -8.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.22). Across its 52-week range of $7.35 to $10.03, NTIC sits at the 5.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.5% ($7.30 to $7.68).

NTIC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NTIC stock right now?

Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 49/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NTIC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NTIC's 12-month base price target is $7.19 (range $5.61 to $10.53), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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