Why NTB Stock slipped -1.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$57.30 -1.50% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.04

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.29B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.04 (-0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 46.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$70 Bull$59 Base$46 Bear
📬 FREE NTB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NTB SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 46.1% FCF Margin ($279.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$57.50+2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$58.65+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$59.91-4.4% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$57.30+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NTB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, NTB faces multiple-compression risk if 9.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($58.95) or 200D SMA ($56.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($59.10) toward Bear Floor ($46.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NTB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NTB Stock slipped -1.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) slipped -1.50% to $57.30, trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($44.36 – $64.17). Solid steady margins (20% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($44.36 – $64.17) with RSI-14 at 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.8% around $57.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $279.6M annual free cash flow.
Live NTB Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Will Strong Q3 Earnings Change Butterfield's (NTB) Narrative

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son reported Q3 2026 earnings per share of US$1.50 on a GAAP basis, affirmed a US$0.50 quarterly dividend for payment on November 25, 2026, and outlined steady margins despite deposit outflows

MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son (NYSE:NTB) reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $61 million, or $1.50 per share, as net interest income and fee-based revenue increased. Core net income was $64.2 million, or $1.58 per

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 4d ago
Bank of N.T Butterfield Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Bank of N.T Butterfield (NYSE:NTB) reported third-quarter financial results on Wednesday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NTB Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NTB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.34%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $57.62H $57.62L $55.92C $57.30VOL 175.7K
RES: $60.96SUP: $55.37SMA50: $58.95SMA200: $56.71
$65.28$60.69$56.10$51.51$46.93RES $60.96SUP $55.37$57.302026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTB)

Financials Rank #316 of 1096 ⚔️ BBAR vs NTB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NTB vs. BBAR, BLX, INTR, ESQ)

Industry: Commercial Banks (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) ranks #316 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #410 by equity capitalization ($2.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NTB leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while NTB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.3% ROIC and — gross margin. NTB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NTB ACTIVE
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting
C 65/100 9.9x — 20.3% -1.50% $2.29B Benchmark Subject
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. ADS
D 51/100 — — — +1.01% $2.44B /bbar-vs-ntb →
BLX
Bladex Inc. Class E
D+ 57/100 — — — +1.37% $1.98B /blx-vs-ntb →
INTR
Inter & Co. Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 — — — +1.46% $1.84B /intr-vs-ntb →
ESQ
Esquire Financial Holdings Inc.
D+ 52/100 — — — -0.88% $1.55B /esq-vs-ntb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) reported GAAP revenue of $606.8M (+4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $579.9M , and +4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $231.9M, operating cash flow of $279.6M, and free cash flow of $279.6M (+5.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTB closed FY2025 with $14.09B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $606.8M $231.9M $279.6M $279.6M $14.09B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $579.9M $216.3M $265.4M $265.4M $14.23B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $578.6M $225.5M $300.3M $300.3M — —

3. NTB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NYSE: NTB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $57.30 (-1.50% 1D, market cap $2.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NTB ranks #316 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTB compare to BBAR and BLX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Commercial Banks), NTB carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 20.3%. By comparison, BBAR (Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. ADS) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.44B) and BLX (Bladex Inc. Class E) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NTB leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while NTB leads on capital efficiency (20.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTB?

Per NTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653242), Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting generated $606.8M in revenue (+4.6% YoY), $231.9M in net income, and $279.6M in free cash flow against $14.09B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTB last traded at $57.30 (-1.50% on volume of 237,307 shares), positioning the stock -2.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($58.95) and +1.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($56.71). Across its 52-week range of $44.36 to $64.17, NTB sits at the 65.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($55.12 to $59.48).

NTB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NTB stock moving today?

Why NTB Stock slipped -1.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (20% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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