Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NPT / earnings

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Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.85 -0.54% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.84

Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $41.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.84 (-0.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NPT SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.41-26.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$1.77-9.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.60+15.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.85-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NPT currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.63) and Max Pain ($1.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.23 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NPT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 18.5%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$797.1M	-$932.6K	-$42.8M	0.6%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$672.7M	$953.6K	-$64.1M	0.7%
FY 2023	2023-06-30	$552.5M	$2.0M	-$14.2M	8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NPT)

✓Walkthrough of NPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.54%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $1.85H $1.85L $1.72C $1.85VOL 12.5K

RES: $2.48SUP: $1.27SMA50: $2.63SMA200: $4.39

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NPT Butterfly Map → + Track NPT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NPT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #716 of 1011 ⚔️ HWKN vs NPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NPT vs. HWKN, ASH, CLX, YHGJ)

Industry: Specialty Chemicals (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) ranks #716 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #833 by equity capitalization ($41.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLX leads on earnings valuation at 13.0x trailing P/E, while CLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.2% ROIC and 45.2% gross margin. HWKN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with NPT at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NPT ACTIVE Texxon Holding Limited	D	47/100	—	0.6%	—	-0.54%	$41.0M	Benchmark Subject
HWKN Hawkins Inc.	B-	71/100	39.2x	22.6%	12.4%	-0.21%	$3.20B	/hwkn-vs-npt →
ASH Ashland Inc.	D+	52/100	—	30.1%	-20.7%	+2.35%	$3.41B	/ash-vs-npt →
CLX Clorox Company	C+	66/100	13.0x	45.2%	37.2%	+2.11%	$10.72B	/clx-vs-npt →
YHGJ Yunhong Green CTI Ltd.	E	34/100	—	18.2%	-19.1%	+0.82%	$7.7M	/yhgj-vs-npt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0002014337

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) reported GAAP revenue of $797.1M (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $672.7M , and +44.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$932.6K, operating cash flow of $2.3M, and free cash flow of -$42.8M (+33.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NPT closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$797.1M	-$932.6K	$2.3M	-$42.8M	—	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$672.7M	$953.6K	-$30.8M	-$64.1M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$552.5M	$2.0M	-$14.2M	-$14.2M	—	—

3. NPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Texxon Holding Limited (NASDAQ: NPT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $1.85 (-0.54% 1D, market cap $41.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NPT ranks #716 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NPT compare to HWKN and ASH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Specialty Chemicals), NPT carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 0.6%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HWKN (Hawkins Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 39.2x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $3.20B) and ASH (Ashland Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.7%, cap $3.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLX leads on earnings multiple (13.0x) while CLX leads on capital efficiency (37.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPT?

Per NPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002014337), Texxon Holding Limited generated $797.1M in revenue (+18.5% YoY), -$932.6K in net income, and -$42.8M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NPT last traded at $1.85 (-0.54% on volume of 7,788 shares), positioning the stock -29.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.63) and -57.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.39). Across its 52-week range of $1.14 to $22.38, NPT sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.62 to $2.08).

NPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NPT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Texxon Holding Limited (NPT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is NPT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for NPT, spanning a range between $1.62 and $2.08.

Direct Sub-Reports: NPT RQD Cockpit NPT 12M Forecast NPT Earnings & Move NPT Dividends & DRIP NPT Insiders & 13F NPT Whale Options NPT Profit Sankey NPT News & Why