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Why NOV Stock advanced +0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NOV Inc. (NOV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Why NOV Stock advanced +0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NOV Inc. (NOV) advanced +0.47% to $19.36, trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($14.3 – $21.93). Stretched risk/reward at 48x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($14.3 – $21.93) with RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.8% around $19.36 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 20.2% gross margin and $876.0M annual free cash flow.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NOV)
- ✓Walkthrough of NOV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NOV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOV today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NOV)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NOV vs. WFRD, SEI, WHD, FTI)
Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (6 Tracked Issuers)Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NOV Inc. (NOV) ranks #215 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #215 by equity capitalization ($6.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WFRD leads on earnings valuation at 15.1x trailing P/E, while FTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.6% ROIC and — gross margin. WHD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NOV at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOV
ACTIVE
NOV Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 47.6x | 20.2% | 6.1% | +0.47% | $6.90B | Benchmark Subject |
| WFRD Weatherford International plc | B- | 71/100 | 15.1x | — | 27.4% | +0.87% | $6.49B | /wfrd-vs-nov → |
| SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | 25.3% | +0.22% | $5.29B | /sei-vs-nov → |
| WHD Cactus Inc. | B | 74/100 | 31.6x | 37.0% | 15.4% | +1.79% | $5.25B | /whd-vs-nov → |
| FTI TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share | B- | 71/100 | 27.2x | — | 41.6% | -6.23% | $26.26B | /fti-vs-nov → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001021860In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NOV Inc. (NOV) reported GAAP revenue of $8.74B (-1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.87B , and +1.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $145.0M, operating cash flow of $1.25B, and free cash flow of $876.0M (-8.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NOV closed FY2025 with $11.29B in total assets against $1.69B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.03, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.74B | $145.0M | $1.25B | $876.0M | $11.29B | $1.69B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $8.87B | $635.0M | $1.30B | $953.0M | $11.36B | $1.70B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $8.58B | $993.0M | $143.0M | -$243.2M | $10.30B | $2.41B |
3. NOV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, NOV Inc. (NYSE: NOV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $19.36 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $6.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NOV ranks #215 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NOV compare to WFRD and SEI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), NOV carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.6x, gross margin of 20.2%, and ROIC of 6.1%. By comparison, WFRD (Weatherford International plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 15.1x, ROIC 27.4%, cap $6.49B) and SEI (Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 25.3%, cap $5.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WFRD leads on earnings multiple (15.1x) while FTI leads on capital efficiency (41.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOV?
Per NOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001021860), NOV Inc. generated $8.74B in revenue (-1.4% YoY), $145.0M in net income, and $876.0M in free cash flow against $11.29B in total assets and $1.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NOV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NOV last traded at $19.36 (+0.47% on volume of 5,139,370 shares), positioning the stock -2.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.90) and -1.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.67). Across its 52-week range of $14.30 to $21.93, NOV sits at the 66.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($18.24 to $20.48).
NOV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NOV stock moving today?
Why NOV Stock advanced +0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 48x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.