Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32.3% FCF Margin ($120.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, NOAH faces multiple-compression risk if 5.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.83) or 200D SMA ($9.75) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.08) toward Bear Floor ($5.52).
Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) slipped 0.00% to $6.89, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($6.57 – $12.45). Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 6x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOAH today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOAH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) ranks #358 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #723 by equity capitalization ($462.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOAH leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while NOAH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.2% ROIC and — gross margin. NOAH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOAH
ACTIVE
Noah Holdings Limited | C | 64/100 | 5.8x | — | 11.2% | 0.00% | $462.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| TYG Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +4.15% | $479.0M | /tyg-vs-noah → |
| HQL abrdn Life Sciences Investors | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | +2.52% | $481.2M | /hql-vs-noah → |
| FTHY First Trust High Yield Opportunities 2027 Term Fund | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | +0.54% | $481.7M | /fthy-vs-noah → |
| ETO Eaton Vance Tax-Advantage Global Dividend Opp | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | +0.03% | $492.8M | /eto-vs-noah → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) reported GAAP revenue of $373.3M (+4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $356.3M , and -19.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $79.9M, operating cash flow of $139.7M, and free cash flow of $120.5M (+188.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NOAH closed FY2025 with $1.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $373.3M | $79.9M | $139.7M | $120.5M | $1.68B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $356.3M | $65.1M | $53.1M | $41.8M | $1.61B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $464.0M | $142.2M | $185.7M | $185.7M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE: NOAH) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $6.89 (0.00% 1D, market cap $462.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NOAH ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), NOAH carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.2%. By comparison, TYG (Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $479.0M) and HQL (abrdn Life Sciences Investors) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $481.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOAH leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while NOAH leads on capital efficiency (11.2% ROIC).
Per NOAH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001499543), Noah Holdings Limited generated $373.3M in revenue (+4.8% YoY), $79.9M in net income, and $120.5M in free cash flow against $1.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
NOAH last traded at $6.89 (0.00% on volume of 226,160 shares), positioning the stock -12.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.83) and -29.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.75). Across its 52-week range of $6.57 to $12.45, NOAH sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($6.52 to $7.26).
Why NOAH Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 6x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
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