Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NEGG / insiders

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Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.78 -5.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.67

Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $205.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.67 (-1.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEGG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NEGG SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (43% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$11.58-5.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$10.90-11% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.70+0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$9.78-11.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEGG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NEGG currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.28) and Max Pain ($10.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $101.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEGG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NEGG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 23%NO 77%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NEGG Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NEGG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NEGG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEGG)

✓Walkthrough of NEGG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NEGG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -71.99%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $9.58H $10.06L $9.58C $9.78VOL 33.2K

RES: $18.18SUP: $9.10SMA50: $13.28SMA200: $26.55

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEGG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NEGG Butterfly Map → + Track NEGG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEGG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEGG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEGG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEGG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #999 of 1011 ⚔️ FLWS vs NEGG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NEGG vs. FLWS, HITI, LOVE, PLBY)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) ranks #999 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #691 by equity capitalization ($205.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOVE leads on earnings valuation at 58.3x trailing P/E, while LOVE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.6% ROIC and 56.4% gross margin. LOVE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with NEGG at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NEGG ACTIVE Newegg Commerce Inc.	E	23/100	—	48.7%	-14.3%	-5.19%	$205.1M	Benchmark Subject
FLWS 1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc.	E	30/100	—	38.0%	-35.0%	-2.37%	$184.9M	/flws-vs-negg →
HITI High Tide Inc.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.11%	$237.1M	/hiti-vs-negg →
LOVE The Lovesac Company	C	64/100	58.3x	56.4%	3.6%	+8.23%	$239.0M	/love-vs-negg →
PLBY Playboy Inc.	E	33/100	—	71.0%	-4.1%	+2.63%	$140.2M	/plby-vs-negg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001474627

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) reported GAAP revenue of $345.8M (+16.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $297.8M ) , GAAP net income of -$4.9M, operating cash flow of -$27.0M, and free cash flow of -$29.7M (-568.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEGG closed FY2025 with $468.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.80, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$345.8M	-$4.9M	-$27.0M	-$29.7M	$468.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$297.8M	-$43.3M	-$821.0K	-$4.4M	$407.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$59.0M	-$3.8M	-$3.8M	—	—

3. NEGG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEGG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Newegg Commerce Inc. (NASDAQ: NEGG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $9.78 (-5.19% 1D, market cap $205.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NEGG ranks #999 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEGG compare to FLWS and HITI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), NEGG carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.7%, and ROIC of -14.3%. By comparison, FLWS (1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HITI (High Tide Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $237.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOVE leads on earnings multiple (58.3x) while LOVE leads on capital efficiency (3.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEGG?

Per NEGG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001474627), Newegg Commerce Inc. generated $345.8M in revenue (+16.1% YoY), -$4.9M in net income, and -$29.7M in free cash flow against $468.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEGG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEGG last traded at $9.78 (-5.19% on volume of 20,143 shares), positioning the stock -26.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.28) and -63.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.55). Across its 52-week range of $9.29 to $96.29, NEGG sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.56 to $11.00).

NEGG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are NEGG insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NEGG leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: NEGG RQD Cockpit NEGG 12M Forecast NEGG Earnings & Move NEGG Dividends & DRIP NEGG Insiders & 13F NEGG Whale Options NEGG Profit Sankey NEGG News & Why