Stock Ratings / Financials / NCTY / insiders

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The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$3.14 -3.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.11

The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $47.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NCTY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: NCTY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $3.14 (-3.83% 1D, market cap $47.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NCTY ranks #1096 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCTY compare to MATH and AVX in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCTY carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MATH (Metalpha Technology Holding Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $47.5M) and AVX (Avax One Technology Ltd.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $48.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCTY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVX leads on capital efficiency (-10.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCTY?

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Per NCTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001296774), The9 Limited American Depository Shares generated $15.4M in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$4.5M in free cash flow against $84.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.11 (-0.88%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NCTY SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (39% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.58-8.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.28+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.28-4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$3.14-12.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (26) → E (18)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCTY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCTY currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.77) and Max Pain ($3.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCTY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NCTY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NCTY Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NCTY)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NCTY. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCTY)

✓Walkthrough of NCTY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NCTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.64%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $3.26H $3.26L $3.14C $3.14VOL 35.0K

RES: $8.42SUP: $2.93SMA50: $3.77SMA200: $4.92

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NCTY Butterfly Map → + Track NCTY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCTY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCTY)

Financials Rank #1096 of 1096 ⚔️ MATH vs NCTY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NCTY vs. MATH, AVX, FRMM, AVAT)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) ranks #1096 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #1015 by equity capitalization ($47.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCTY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AVX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -10.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MATH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with NCTY at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NCTY ACTIVE The9 Limited American Depository Shares	E	18/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.83%	$47.9M	Benchmark Subject
MATH Metalpha Technology Holding Limited	D	48/100	—	—	—	-4.76%	$47.5M	/math-vs-ncty →
AVX Avax One Technology Ltd.	E	30/100	—	—	-10.4%	+11.55%	$48.2M	/avx-vs-ncty →
FRMM Forum Markets Incorporated	E	25/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.11%	$49.0M	/frmm-vs-ncty →
AVAT Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A)	D	44/100	—	—	—	-7.76%	$46.8M	/avat-vs-ncty →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001296774

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) reported GAAP revenue of $15.4M (+0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.3M , and -38.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$4.5M, and free cash flow of -$4.5M (+25.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCTY closed FY2025 with $84.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$15.4M	$0	-$4.5M	-$4.5M	$84.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$15.3M	-$10.1M	-$6.1M	-$6.1M	$87.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$25.2M	$2.8M	-$6.5M	-$6.5M	—	—

3. NCTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NCTY compare to MATH and AVX in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCTY?

Where is NCTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCTY last traded at $3.14 (-3.83% on volume of 34,978 shares), positioning the stock -16.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.77) and -36.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.92). Across its 52-week range of $2.94 to $9.76, NCTY sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.75 to $3.53).

NCTY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are NCTY insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NCTY leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: NCTY RQD Cockpit NCTY 12M Forecast NCTY Earnings & Move NCTY Dividends & DRIP NCTY Insiders & 13F NCTY Whale Options NCTY Profit Sankey NCTY News & Why