Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.78 +61.82% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.97

Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.97 (+10.94%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.1% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NCPL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NCPL SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$1.14+90.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$2.17-38.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$1.33+33.8% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$1.78+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NCPL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, NCPL faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.08) or 200D SMA ($0.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.80) toward Bear Floor ($1.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCPL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NCPL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NCPL Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NCPL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NCPL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NCPL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NCPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +368.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $2.12H $2.39L $1.50C $1.78VOL 22.27M
RES: $2.78SUP: $0.10SMA50: $1.08SMA200: $0.67
$2.83$2.12$1.41$0.70$-0.01RES $2.78SUP $0.10$1.782026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCPL)

Financials Rank #476 of 1096 ⚔️ BENF vs NCPL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NCPL vs. BENF, BCG, ICMB, ORIO)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) ranks #476 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #1068 by equity capitalization ($14.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCG leads on earnings valuation at 8.0x trailing P/E, while BCG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and — gross margin. NCPL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCPL ACTIVE
Netcapital Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — +61.82% $14.3M Benchmark Subject
BENF
Beneficient (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — -35.0% -2.30% $15.3M /benf-vs-ncpl →
BCG
Binah Capital Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 8.0x — 12.6% +2.77% $18.4M /bcg-vs-ncpl →
ICMB
Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — -14.9% +0.07% $10.8M /icmb-vs-ncpl →
ORIO
Orion Digital Corp.
C- 60/100 — — — -3.47% $20.5M /orio-vs-ncpl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001414767

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $869.5K , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, NCPL closed FY2025 with $26.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $0 $0 — — $26.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $869.5K -$28.3M -$5.3M -$5.3M $39.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $5.0M -$5.0M -$4.9M -$4.9M — —

3. NCPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Netcapital Inc. (NASDAQ: NCPL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $1.78 (+61.82% 1D, market cap $14.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NCPL ranks #476 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCPL compare to BENF and BCG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCPL carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BENF (Beneficient (Class A)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.3M) and BCG (Binah Capital Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 8.0x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCG leads on earnings multiple (8.0x) while BCG leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCPL?

Per NCPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001414767), Netcapital Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $26.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCPL last traded at $1.78 (+61.82% on volume of 53,954,041 shares), positioning the stock +64.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.08) and +165.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.67). Across its 52-week range of $0.21 to $2.66, NCPL sits at the 64.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.56 to $2.00).

NCPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are NCPL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NCPL leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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