MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why NAKA Stock dropped -3.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.88 -3.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.82
Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $126.2M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NAKA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Nakamoto Inc. (NASDAQ: NAKA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $6.88 (-3.51% 1D, market cap $126.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NAKA ranks #1004 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NAKA compare to AIRS and LFMD in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), NAKA carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.6%. By comparison, AIRS (AirSculpt Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.0%, cap $120.4M) and LFMD (LifeMD Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.2%, cap $111.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAKA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AIRS leads on capital efficiency (-7.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAKA?
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Per NAKA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001946573), Nakamoto Inc. generated $1.8M in revenue (-33.0% YoY), -$52.2M in net income, and -$23.5M in free cash flow against $730.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.82 (-0.82%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NAKA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NAKA SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$8.54-16.5% Next Q
30
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$7.13+3.2% Next Q
27
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$7.36-6.5% Next Q
25
CurrentGrade E$6.88-11.4% Hist 90D α
22
Trajectory: E (30) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NAKA Turnaround Squeeze
While NAKA currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.21) and Max Pain ($7.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $38.64.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NAKA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NAKA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NAKA Stock dropped -3.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) dropped -3.51% to $6.88, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($3.33 – $36.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-32% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($3.33 – $36.8) with RSI-14 at 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $6.88 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NAKA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NAKA)
- ✓Walkthrough of NAKA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NAKA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.27%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $6.47H $6.88L $5.71C $6.88VOL 293.9K
RES: $11.13SUP: $0.39SMA50: $8.21SMA200: $7.98
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NAKA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -33.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NAKA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NAKA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NAKA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NAKA)
Health Care Rank #1004 of 1016
⚔️ AIRS vs NAKA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NAKA vs. AIRS, LFMD, ALPS, EUDA)
Industry: Medical/Nursing Services (29 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) ranks #1004 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #631 by equity capitalization ($126.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NAKA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AIRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ALPS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with NAKA at 22/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAKA
ACTIVE
Nakamoto Inc. | E | 22/100 | — | — | -31.6% | -3.51% | $126.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| AIRS AirSculpt Technologies Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | -7.0% | +15.97% | $120.4M | /airs-vs-naka → |
| LFMD LifeMD Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | 85.7% | -26.2% | +4.04% | $111.8M | /lfmd-vs-naka → |
| ALPS ALPS Group Inc Ordinary Share | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -0.03% | $54.1M | /alps-vs-naka → |
| EUDA EUDA Health Holdings Limited | D- | 39/100 | — | 43.9% | -35.0% | +1.31% | $46.4M | /euda-vs-naka → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001946573In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.8M (-33.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.7M , and -51.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$52.2M, operating cash flow of -$23.5M, and free cash flow of -$23.5M (-661.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NAKA closed FY2025 with $730.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.8M | -$52.2M | -$23.5M | -$23.5M | $730.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.7M | -$3.6M | -$3.1M | -$3.1M | $3.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.8M | -$1.6M | -$449.5K | -$449.5K | — | — |
3. NAKA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NAKA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Nakamoto Inc. (NASDAQ: NAKA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $6.88 (-3.51% 1D, market cap $126.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NAKA ranks #1004 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NAKA compare to AIRS and LFMD in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), NAKA carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.6%. By comparison, AIRS (AirSculpt Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.0%, cap $120.4M) and LFMD (LifeMD Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.2%, cap $111.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAKA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AIRS leads on capital efficiency (-7.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAKA?
Per NAKA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001946573), Nakamoto Inc. generated $1.8M in revenue (-33.0% YoY), -$52.2M in net income, and -$23.5M in free cash flow against $730.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NAKA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NAKA last traded at $6.88 (-3.51% on volume of 115,676 shares), positioning the stock -16.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.21) and -13.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.98). Across its 52-week range of $3.33 to $36.80, NAKA sits at the 10.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.02 to $7.74).
NAKA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NAKA stock moving today?
Why NAKA Stock dropped -3.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-32% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.