CATALYSTReuters • 2h ago
Indian shares set for positive start on talks to end Iran war, strong Reliance earnings - ReutersIndian shares set for positive start on talks to end Iran war, strong Reliance earnings Reuters
Why NAII Stock dropped -4.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.11 -4.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.10
Natural Alternatives International Inc. (NAII) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $6.9M
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Is NAII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Natural Alternatives International Inc. (NASDAQ: NAII) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.11 (-4.31% 1D, market cap $6.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NAII ranks #855 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NAII compare to BON and MTEX in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products), NAII carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.2%, and ROIC of -10.8%. By comparison, BON (Bon Natural Life Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.2M) and MTEX (Mannatech Incorporated) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAII leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NAII leads on capital efficiency (-10.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAII?
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Per NAII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000787253), Natural Alternatives International Inc. generated $129.9M in revenue (+14.1% YoY), -$13.6M in net income, and $2.3M in free cash flow against $153.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.10 (-0.97%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NAII)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NAII SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.8% FCF Margin ($2.3M FCF) & 7.2% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 1.45 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$1.14+0.9% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$1.15+5.2% Next Q
39
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$1.21-8.3% Next Q
37
CurrentGrade E$1.11-8.7% Hist 90D α
34
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NAII Turnaround Squeeze
While NAII currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.63) and Max Pain ($1.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.21.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NAII• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NAII Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NAII Stock dropped -4.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Natural Alternatives International Inc. (NAII) dropped -4.31% to $1.11, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.07 – $4.96). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.07 – $4.96) with RSI-14 at 25.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 7.2% gross margin and $2.3M annual free cash flow.
Live NAII Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 12h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NAII)
- ✓Walkthrough of NAII's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NAII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.43%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.13H $1.13L $1.07C $1.11VOL 2.7K
RES: $2.08SUP: $0.90SMA50: $1.63SMA200: $2.45
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NAII Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NAII today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NAII. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NAII today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NAII)
Health Care Rank #855 of 1016
⚔️ BON vs NAII Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NAII vs. BON, MTEX, AKAN, IMCC)
Industry: Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Natural Alternatives International Inc. (NAII) ranks #855 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #922 by equity capitalization ($6.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NAII leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NAII leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -10.8% ROIC and 7.2% gross margin. IMCC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with NAII at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAII
ACTIVE
Natural Alternatives International Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | 7.2% | -10.8% | -4.31% | $6.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| BON Bon Natural Life Limited (Class A) | D | 45/100 | — | 20.8% | — | -0.01% | $9.2M | /bon-vs-naii → |
| MTEX Mannatech Incorporated | E | 33/100 | — | 74.9% | -35.0% | -2.23% | $16.1M | /mtex-vs-naii → |
| AKAN Akanda Corp. | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | +2.80% | $2.6M | /akan-vs-naii → |
| IMCC IM Cannabis Corp. | C | 64/100 | — | — | — | +3.53% | $1.5M | /imcc-vs-naii → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000787253In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Natural Alternatives International Inc. (NAII) reported GAAP revenue of $129.9M (+14.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $113.8M ) , GAAP net income of -$13.6M, operating cash flow of $5.9M, and free cash flow of $2.3M (+151.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, NAII closed FY2025 with $153.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.45, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $129.9M | -$13.6M | $5.9M | $2.3M | $153.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $113.8M | -$7.2M | -$1.5M | -$4.5M | $156.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $0 | $2.5M | $7.0M | $7.0M | — | — |
3. NAII Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NAII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Natural Alternatives International Inc. (NASDAQ: NAII) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.11 (-4.31% 1D, market cap $6.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NAII ranks #855 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NAII compare to BON and MTEX in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products), NAII carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.2%, and ROIC of -10.8%. By comparison, BON (Bon Natural Life Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.2M) and MTEX (Mannatech Incorporated) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAII leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NAII leads on capital efficiency (-10.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAII?
Per NAII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000787253), Natural Alternatives International Inc. generated $129.9M in revenue (+14.1% YoY), -$13.6M in net income, and $2.3M in free cash flow against $153.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NAII trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NAII last traded at $1.11 (-4.31% on volume of 38,016 shares), positioning the stock -31.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.63) and -54.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.45). Across its 52-week range of $1.07 to $4.96, NAII sits at the 1.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.25).
NAII Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NAII stock moving today?
Why NAII Stock dropped -4.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.