MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why MXC Stock dropped -3.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$10.10 -3.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.02
Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $20.7M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.03 (-0.74%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 57.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MXC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MXC SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 57.6% FCF Margin ($3.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$10.30-4% Next Q
70
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$9.89+1.4% Next Q
67
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$10.03+0.7% Next Q
65
CurrentGrade C$10.10+0.7% Hist 90D α
62
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MXC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, MXC faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.28) or 200D SMA ($9.82) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.28) toward Bear Floor ($8.02).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MXC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MXC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MXC Stock dropped -3.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) dropped -3.07% to $10.10, trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($7.16 – $16.48). Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($7.16 – $16.48) with RSI-14 at 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10% around $10.10 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $3.8M annual free cash flow.
Live MXC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MXC Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MXC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.43%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $10.16H $10.24L $9.86C $10.10VOL 80.8K
RES: $13.35SUP: $9.99SMA50: $10.28SMA200: $9.82
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MXC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -8.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MXC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MXC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MXC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MXC)
Energy Rank #91 of 211
⚔️ EONR vs MXC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (MXC vs. EONR, CKX, BRN, AGIG)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) ranks #91 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #201 by equity capitalization ($20.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CKX leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while CKX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and — gross margin. CKX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with MXC at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MXC
ACTIVE
Mexco Energy Corporation | C | 62/100 | 15.8x | — | 5.9% | -3.07% | $20.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| EONR EON Resources Inc. (Class A) | E | 27/100 | — | — | -14.8% | -7.37% | $20.2M | /eonr-vs-mxc → |
| CKX CKX Lands Inc. | C | 65/100 | 7.3x | — | 13.4% | -0.05% | $22.1M | /ckx-vs-mxc → |
| BRN Barnwell Industries Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | — | 0.5% | -2.78% | $12.6M | /brn-vs-mxc → |
| AGIG Abundia Global Impact Group Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.06% | $42.1M | /agig-vs-mxc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000066418In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.6M (-8.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.1M , and -0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.3M, operating cash flow of $3.8M, and free cash flow of $3.8M (-11.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MXC closed FY2025 with $20.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.00, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-03-31 | $6.6M | $1.3M | $3.8M | $3.8M | $20.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-03-31 | $7.1M | $1.7M | $4.3M | $4.3M | $19.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-03-31 | $6.6M | $1.3M | $4.4M | $4.4M | — | — |
3. MXC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MXC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Mexco Energy Corporation (NYSE: MXC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $10.10 (-3.07% 1D, market cap $20.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MXC ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MXC compare to EONR and CKX in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), MXC carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, EONR (EON Resources Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.8%, cap $20.2M) and CKX (CKX Lands Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $22.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CKX leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while CKX leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MXC?
Per MXC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000066418), Mexco Energy Corporation generated $6.6M in revenue (-8.1% YoY), $1.3M in net income, and $3.8M in free cash flow against $20.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MXC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MXC last traded at $10.10 (-3.07% on volume of 94,966 shares), positioning the stock -1.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.28) and +2.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.82). Across its 52-week range of $7.16 to $16.48, MXC sits at the 31.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($9.09 to $11.11).
MXC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MXC stock moving today?
Why MXC Stock dropped -3.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.