MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
MicroVision, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call SummaryMoby summary of MicroVision, Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
Why MVIS Stock surged +10.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.44 +10.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47
MicroVision Inc. (MVIS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $43.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47 (+1.75%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MVIS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MVIS SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (33% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (30% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$1.20-5.8% Next Q
35
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$1.13+4.4% Next Q
38
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$1.18+22% Next Q
40
CurrentGrade D-$1.44-6.7% Hist 90D α
43
Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MVIS Turnaround Squeeze
While MVIS currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.50) and Max Pain ($1.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.74.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MVIS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MVIS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MVIS Stock surged +10.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MicroVision Inc. (MVIS) surged +10.77% to $1.44, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.08 – $17.85). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.08 – $17.85) with RSI-14 at 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.44 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live MVIS Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
MicroVision (MVIS) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptLiDAR revenue surged to $2.4M as MicroVision shifts to hardware sales and targets profitability.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 3d ago
MicroVision, Inc. (MVIS) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptMicroVision, Inc. (MVIS) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 28, 2026 4:30 PM EDTCompany ParticipantsDrew Markham - Senior VP, General Counsel & Secretary,...
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
MicroVision: Q3 Earnings Snapshot(MVIS) on Wednesday reported a loss of $12.The Redmond, Washington-based company said it had a loss of 45 cents per share.
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
MicroVision Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results with Record Lidar Revenue and Accelerated Path to ProfitabilitySignificant fourth quarter cost reductions align operating resources with commercial drivers and bring forward the path to profitability.Third quarter progress included continued quarter-over-quarter revenue growth and 5
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 4d ago
Microvision Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptMicrovision (NASDAQ:MVIS) reported third-quarter financial results on Wednesday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by Benzinga APIs.
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 4d ago
Microvision Q3 EPS $(0.45) Up From $(0.75) YoY, Sales $2.400M Up From $241.000K YoYMicrovision (NASDAQ:MVIS) reported quarterly losses of $(0.45) per share. This is a 40 percent increase over losses of $(0.75) per share from the same period last year. The company reported $2.400 million in sales this
RISK WATCHYahoo • 9d ago
MicroVision Begins Commercial Production of MOVIA(TM) Pro to Meet Immediate Customer Demand for Superior Short-Range Sensing and Onboard Perception, Enabling Physical AI at the EdgeMoving beyond prototypes to delivering the highest quality, highest performance short-range lidar sensor with integrated perception, multi-echo sensing, and versatility for demanding, mission-critical applicationsORLANDO
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
MicroVision, Blue-Band partner on ITS LiDAR infrastructureThe alliance will combine MicroVision’s short- and long-range LiDAR systems with Blue-Band’s intelligent infrastructure platform.
CATALYSTYahoo • 13d ago
MicroVision and Blue-Band Forge Exclusive Strategic Alliance to Deliver Next-Generation Intelligent Transportation SolutionsAs an important part of its commercial growth strategy, the alliance expands MicroVision's ITS capabilities and accelerates revenue generation by delivering scalable, cost-effective solutions for transportation agencies
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MVIS)
- ✓Walkthrough of MVIS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MVIS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -85.45%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $1.38H $1.44L $1.30C $1.44VOL 1.43M
RES: $2.20SUP: $0.95SMA50: $1.50SMA200: $6.54
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MVIS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MVIS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MVIS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MVIS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MVIS)
Technology Rank #508 of 714
⚔️ ZOOZ vs MVIS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MVIS vs. ZOOZ, TRT, NSYS, CVV)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MicroVision Inc. (MVIS) ranks #508 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #567 by equity capitalization ($43.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MVIS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NSYS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.3% ROIC and 15.2% gross margin. NSYS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with MVIS at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVIS
ACTIVE
MicroVision Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | +10.77% | $43.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| ZOOZ ZOOZ Strategy Ltd. | E | 31/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -7.53% | $48.2M | /zooz-vs-mvis → |
| TRT Trio-Tech International | E | 33/100 | — | 25.1% | 1.0% | -0.18% | $57.3M | /trt-vs-mvis → |
| NSYS Nortech Systems Incorporated | D | 49/100 | — | 15.2% | 2.3% | -2.67% | $31.2M | /nsys-vs-mvis → |
| CVV CVD Equipment Corporation | E | 34/100 | — | 28.3% | -9.4% | -2.41% | $28.1M | /cvv-vs-mvis → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000065770In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MicroVision Inc. (MVIS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.2M (-74.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.7M , and -83.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$95.0M, operating cash flow of -$58.7M, and free cash flow of -$59.4M (+13.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MVIS closed FY2025 with $103.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.2M | -$95.0M | -$58.7M | -$59.4M | $103.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.7M | -$96.9M | -$68.5M | -$68.9M | $121.2M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.3M | -$82.8M | -$67.1M | -$67.1M | — | — |
3. MVIS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MVIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, MicroVision Inc. (NASDAQ: MVIS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $1.44 (+10.77% 1D, market cap $43.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MVIS ranks #508 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MVIS compare to ZOOZ and TRT in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), MVIS carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ZOOZ (ZOOZ Strategy Ltd.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $48.2M) and TRT (Trio-Tech International) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.0%, cap $57.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MVIS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSYS leads on capital efficiency (2.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MVIS?
Per MVIS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000065770), MicroVision Inc. generated $1.2M in revenue (-74.3% YoY), -$95.0M in net income, and -$59.4M in free cash flow against $103.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MVIS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MVIS last traded at $1.44 (+10.77% on volume of 2,153,452 shares), positioning the stock -4.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.50) and -77.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.54). Across its 52-week range of $1.08 to $17.85, MVIS sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.26 to $1.62).
MVIS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MVIS stock moving today?
Why MVIS Stock surged +10.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.