Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$540.00 +4.80% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 25% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $9.93B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510076
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk C+
Cash (17)Whales (15)SEC (12)Macro (15)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$689 Bull$584 Base$443 Bear
📬 FREE MUSA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MUSA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MUSA Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MUSA)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MUSA. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MUSA Tape Review)

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MUSA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.91%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-01O $515.3H $540.0L $515.3C $540.0VOL 497.2K
RES: $546.4SUP: $470.8SMA50: $524.4SMA200: $517.0
$651.6$587.3$523.0$458.8$394.5RES $546.4SUP $470.8$540.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-01
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MUSA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MUSA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MUSA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MUSA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MUSA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #44 of 304 ⚔️ KMX vs MUSA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MUSA vs. KMX, PAG, LAD, AN)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) ranks #44 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #171 by equity capitalization ($9.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LAD leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while MUSA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MUSA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MUSA ACTIVE
Murphy USA Inc.
B+ 76/100 21.1x — 24.5% +4.80% $9.93B Benchmark Subject
KMX
CarMax Inc
D+ 57/100 32.3x 10.8% 1.7% +4.04% $7.97B /kmx-vs-musa →
PAG
Penske Automotive Group Inc.
D+ 58/100 14.9x 16.4% 13.8% +0.18% $13.94B /pag-vs-musa →
LAD
Lithia Motors Inc.
D 45/100 7.8x 15.2% 11.1% +2.90% $6.42B /lad-vs-musa →
AN
AutoNation Inc.
D- 40/100 8.6x 17.9% 18.9% +3.14% $5.60B /an-vs-musa →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001573516

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $470.6M, operating cash flow of $813.9M, and free cash flow of $813.9M (-4.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MUSA closed FY2025 with $4.73B in total assets against $1.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.73, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $470.6M $813.9M $813.9M $4.73B $1.85B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $502.5M $847.6M $847.6M $4.54B $1.67B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $21.53B $556.8M $784.0M -$184.8M $25.84B $6.05B

3. MUSA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MUSA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Murphy USA Inc. (NYSE: MUSA) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $540.00 (+4.80% 1D, market cap $9.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MUSA ranks #44 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MUSA compare to KMX and PAG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), MUSA carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.5%. By comparison, KMX (CarMax Inc) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.3x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $7.97B) and PAG (Penske Automotive Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $13.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAD leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while MUSA leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MUSA?

Per MUSA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001573516), Murphy USA Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $470.6M in net income, and $813.9M in free cash flow against $4.73B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MUSA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MUSA last traded at $540.00 (+4.80% on volume of 497,219 shares), positioning the stock +2.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($524.44) and +4.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($516.96). Across its 52-week range of $349.83 to $636.05, MUSA sits at the 66.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($503.28 to $576.72).

MUSA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are MUSA insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies MUSA leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.