MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why MTW Stock surged +2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$23.80 +2.81% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.88
Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $858.3M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.88 (+0.32%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MTW SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (32% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$21.67-0.6% Next Q
33
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$21.54+3.2% Next Q
36
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$22.24+7% Next Q
38
CurrentGrade D-$23.80-7.2% Hist 90D α
41
Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MTW Turnaround Squeeze
While MTW currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.56) and Max Pain ($24.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.94.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MTW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MTW Stock surged +2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) surged +2.81% to $23.80, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($9.93 – $24). Stretched risk/reward at 119x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($9.93 – $24) with RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $23.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 18.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live MTW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTW)
- ✓Walkthrough of MTW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MTW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +75.13%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $22.82H $23.80L $22.63C $23.80VOL 351.2K
RES: $25.33SUP: $13.97SMA50: $21.56SMA200: $15.55
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MTW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTW today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTW)
Industrials Rank #365 of 485
⚔️ ASTE vs MTW Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MTW vs. ASTE, PLOW, WNC, HY)
Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) ranks #365 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #265 by equity capitalization ($858.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLOW leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PLOW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with MTW at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTW
ACTIVE
Manitowoc Company Inc. | D- | 41/100 | 119.2x | 18.1% | 6.9% | +2.81% | $858.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| ASTE Astec Industries Inc. | C | 62/100 | 23.7x | 26.5% | 5.6% | +2.41% | $918.9M | /aste-vs-mtw → |
| PLOW Douglas Dynamics Inc. | B | 72/100 | 19.6x | 26.6% | 20.7% | +0.33% | $919.2M | /plow-vs-mtw → |
| WNC Wabash National Corporation | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | 31.2% | -4.05% | $540.2M | /wnc-vs-mtw → |
| HY Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 52/100 | — | 16.8% | -3.7% | 0.00% | $526.1M | /hy-vs-mtw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000061986In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.24B (+2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.18B , and +0.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.2M, operating cash flow of $22.2M, and free cash flow of -$15.3M (-537.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTW closed FY2025 with $1.82B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.24B | $7.2M | $22.2M | -$15.3M | $1.82B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.18B | $55.8M | $49.2M | $3.5M | $1.66B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.23B | $39.2M | $63.0M | $63.0M | — | — |
3. MTW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Manitowoc Company Inc. (NYSE: MTW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $23.80 (+2.81% 1D, market cap $858.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MTW ranks #365 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MTW compare to ASTE and PLOW in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), MTW carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 119.2x, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, ASTE (Astec Industries Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $918.9M) and PLOW (Douglas Dynamics Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $919.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTW?
Per MTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000061986), Manitowoc Company Inc. generated $2.24B in revenue (+2.9% YoY), $7.2M in net income, and -$15.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MTW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MTW last traded at $23.80 (+2.81% on volume of 443,910 shares), positioning the stock +10.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.56) and +53.05% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.55). Across its 52-week range of $9.93 to $24.00, MTW sits at the 98.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($21.66 to $25.94).
MTW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MTW stock moving today?
Why MTW Stock surged +2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 119x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.