MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (MSAI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.1 (OVERSOLD (<32))
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While MSAI currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.61) and Max Pain ($3.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $90.30.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (MSAI) surged +2.24% to $3.43, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.26 – $86). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ACFN and MSAI ride on different IoT growth drivers, but which stock looks more compelling amid contrasting performance, valuations and strategies? Let's dive in.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSAI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (MSAI) ranks #696 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #655 by equity capitalization ($7.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPXS leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while OPXS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.8% ROIC and 29.2% gross margin. OPXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with MSAI at 27/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSAI
ACTIVE
MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.24% | $7.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| DCM DeFi Capital Markets Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | 16.6% | -35.0% | -6.70% | $10.1M | /dcm-vs-msai → |
| OPXS Optex Systems Holdings Inc. | A- | 84/100 | 12.5x | 29.2% | 29.8% | +1.32% | $64.2M | /opxs-vs-msai → |
| OPTX Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 54/100 | — | 23.3% | -2.8% | +0.83% | $294.0M | /optx-vs-msai → |
| RELL Richardson Electronics Ltd. | D | 47/100 | 48.8x | 31.2% | 4.1% | -0.81% | $311.4M | /rell-vs-msai → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (MSAI) reported GAAP revenue of $5.6M (-25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.4M , and +2.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.7M, operating cash flow of -$8.0M, and free cash flow of -$8.0M (+48.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSAI closed FY2025 with $35.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $5.6M | -$11.7M | -$8.0M | -$8.0M | $35.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $7.4M | -$21.5M | -$15.6M | -$15.6M | $15.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $5.4M | -$22.3M | -$4.6M | -$4.6M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MSAI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $3.43 (+2.24% 1D, market cap $7.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MSAI ranks #696 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), MSAI carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DCM (DeFi Capital Markets Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.1M) and OPXS (Optex Systems Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 29.8%, cap $64.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPXS leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while OPXS leads on capital efficiency (29.8% ROIC).
Per MSAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001863990), MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. generated $5.6M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), -$11.7M in net income, and -$8.0M in free cash flow against $35.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
MSAI last traded at $3.43 (+2.24% on volume of 4,095 shares), positioning the stock -25.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.61) and -51.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.01). Across its 52-week range of $3.26 to $86.00, MSAI sits at the 0.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.00 to $3.86).
Why MSAI Stock surged +2.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.