MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why MOBI Stock dropped -4.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.27 -4.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.16
Mobia Medical Inc. (MOBI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $375.2M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.16 (-0.98%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MOBI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MOBI SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($10.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$8.63-6.3% Next Q
38
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$8.09+28.7% Next Q
41
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$10.41+8.3% Next Q
43
CurrentGrade D$11.27-6.1% Hist 90D α
46
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MOBI Turnaround Squeeze
While MOBI currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.01) and Max Pain ($11.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.05.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MOBI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MOBI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MOBI Stock dropped -4.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mobia Medical Inc. (MOBI) dropped -4.41% to $11.27, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($8.03 – $15.29). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($8.03 – $15.29) with RSI-14 at 56.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $11.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $10.5M annual free cash flow.
Live MOBI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MOBI)
- ✓Walkthrough of MOBI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MOBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.09%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $11.28H $11.34L $10.53C $11.27VOL 143.3K
RES: $11.99SUP: $7.26SMA50: $10.01SMA200: $11.43
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MOBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MOBI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MOBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MOBI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MOBI)
Health Care Rank #451 of 1016
⚔️ EMBC vs MOBI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MOBI vs. EMBC, CLPT, OFIX, SI)
Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mobia Medical Inc. (MOBI) ranks #451 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #488 by equity capitalization ($375.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EMBC leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while EMBC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.5% ROIC and 62.6% gross margin. EMBC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with MOBI at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOBI
ACTIVE
Mobia Medical Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -4.41% | $375.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| EMBC Embecta Corp. | B | 74/100 | 3.9x | 62.6% | 35.5% | +1.55% | $371.7M | /embc-vs-mobi → |
| CLPT ClearPoint Neuro Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | 61.4% | -35.0% | +1.23% | $342.7M | /clpt-vs-mobi → |
| OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 68.8% | -12.2% | +1.99% | $417.1M | /ofix-vs-mobi → |
| SI Shoulder Innovations Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | 76.5% | -16.1% | +4.93% | $425.5M | /si-vs-mobi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001489993In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mobia Medical Inc. (MOBI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, MOBI closed FY2025 with $48.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $48.1M | — |
3. MOBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MOBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Mobia Medical Inc. (NASDAQ: MOBI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $11.27 (-4.41% 1D, market cap $375.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MOBI ranks #451 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MOBI compare to EMBC and CLPT in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), MOBI carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EMBC (Embecta Corp.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 3.9x, ROIC 35.5%, cap $371.7M) and CLPT (ClearPoint Neuro Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $342.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMBC leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while EMBC leads on capital efficiency (35.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOBI?
Per MOBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001489993), Mobia Medical Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $48.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MOBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MOBI last traded at $11.27 (-4.41% on volume of 132,650 shares), positioning the stock +12.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.01) and -1.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.43). Across its 52-week range of $8.03 to $15.29, MOBI sits at the 44.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.86 to $12.68).
MOBI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MOBI stock moving today?
Why MOBI Stock dropped -4.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.