Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.6% realized swing band)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
While MLCI currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.24) and Max Pain ($3.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.11.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) advanced +1.17% to $3.31, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($2.56 – $8.68). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
NEW YORK, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Mount Logan Capital Inc. (Nasdaq: MLCI) (“Mount Logan” or the “Company”) announced today that it will release its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 20
Mount Logan announces that BC Partners, a long-standing shareholder and strategic partner, has adopted a Rule 10b5-1 and Rule 10b-18 trading plan to acquire additional shares of Mount Logan common stock in the open marke
Mount Logan Management LLC has signed a definitive agreement to succeed Alternative Fund Advisors, LLC as investment adviser to the AFA Asset Based Lending Fund, which will bring Mount Logan’s interval fund assets under
Mount Logan Capital Inc. (NASDAQ:MLCI) ("Mount Logan") today announced that Mount Logan Management LLC, its wholly owned registered investment adviser ("MLM"), has entered into a definitive agreement to
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MLCI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MLCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) ranks #949 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #1028 by equity capitalization ($37.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HNNA leads on earnings valuation at 8.1x trailing P/E, while HNNA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and — gross margin. HNNA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with MLCI at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLCI
ACTIVE
Mount Logan Capital Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.17% | $37.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| GROW U.S. Global Investors Inc. (Class A) | E | 30/100 | — | — | -12.5% | -1.47% | $33.0M | /grow-vs-mlci → |
| RSF RiverNorth Capital and Income Fund | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +0.43% | $47.5M | /rsf-vs-mlci → |
| HNNA Hennessy Advisors Inc. | B+ | 80/100 | 8.1x | — | 38.5% | 0.00% | $80.5M | /hnna-vs-mlci → |
| DTF DTF Tax-Free Income 2028 Term Fund Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.53% | $80.6M | /dtf-vs-mlci → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) reported GAAP revenue of $53.6M (+7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.8M ) , GAAP net income of -$60.8M, operating cash flow of -$22.2M, and free cash flow of -$22.2M (+41.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MLCI closed FY2025 with $1.60B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $53.6M | -$60.8M | -$22.2M | -$22.2M | $1.60B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $49.8M | -$10.4M | -$37.8M | -$37.8M | $1.56B | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Mount Logan Capital Inc. (NASDAQ: MLCI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $3.31 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $37.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MLCI ranks #949 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), MLCI carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GROW (U.S. Global Investors Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.5%, cap $33.0M) and RSF (RiverNorth Capital and Income Fund) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $47.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HNNA leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while HNNA leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).
Per MLCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002051820), Mount Logan Capital Inc. generated $53.6M in revenue (+7.6% YoY), -$60.8M in net income, and -$22.2M in free cash flow against $1.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
MLCI last traded at $3.31 (+1.17% on volume of 15,791 shares), positioning the stock +2.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.24) and -18.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.06). Across its 52-week range of $2.56 to $8.68, MLCI sits at the 12.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($3.09 to $3.53).
Why MLCI Stock advanced +1.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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