MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why MIAX Stock slipped -1.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$31.44 -1.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.28
Miami International Holdings Inc. (MIAX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.12B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.29 (-0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MIAX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MIAX SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (29% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($145.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (20% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$30.71+0.8% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$30.95+9.8% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$33.98-7.5% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D+$31.44-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MIAX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, MIAX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.49) or 200D SMA ($41.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.02) toward Bear Floor ($24.20).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MIAX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MIAX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MIAX Stock slipped -1.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Miami International Holdings Inc. (MIAX) slipped -1.69% to $31.44, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($29.06 – $57.14). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($29.06 – $57.14) with RSI-14 at 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10% around $31.44 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $145.0M annual free cash flow.
Live MIAX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MIAX)
- ✓Walkthrough of MIAX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MIAX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.37%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $33.43H $34.00L $31.44C $31.44VOL 2.32M
RES: $51.27SUP: $28.09SMA50: $36.49SMA200: $41.38
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MIAX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +19.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MIAX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MIAX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MIAX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MIAX)
Financials Rank #695 of 1096
⚔️ WT vs MIAX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MIAX vs. WT, BULL, CII, EEFT)
Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Miami International Holdings Inc. (MIAX) ranks #695 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #358 by equity capitalization ($3.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EEFT leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while WT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EEFT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with MIAX at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAX
ACTIVE
Miami International Holdings Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | 16.2% | -1.69% | $3.12B | Benchmark Subject |
| WT WisdomTree Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 28.9x | — | 33.3% | +1.03% | $3.27B | /wt-vs-miax → |
| BULL Webull Corporation (Class A) | D | 50/100 | 116.3x | — | 1.5% | -3.62% | $2.88B | /bull-vs-miax → |
| CII BlackRock Enhanced Large Cap Core Fund Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.68% | $3.55B | /cii-vs-miax → |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 7.5x | — | 32.1% | +1.95% | $2.33B | /eeft-vs-miax → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001438472In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Miami International Holdings Inc. (MIAX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.36B (+19.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.14B , and +31.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$70.0M, operating cash flow of $167.8M, and free cash flow of $145.0M (+71.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MIAX closed FY2025 with $1.26B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.36B | -$70.0M | $167.8M | $145.0M | $1.26B | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.14B | $102.1M | $111.4M | $84.7M | $973.7M | $32.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.04B | -$20.9M | -$49.2M | -$49.2M | — | — |
3. MIAX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MIAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Miami International Holdings Inc. (NYSE: MIAX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $31.44 (-1.69% 1D, market cap $3.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MIAX ranks #695 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MIAX compare to WT and BULL in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), MIAX carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.2%. By comparison, WT (WisdomTree Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 28.9x, ROIC 33.3%, cap $3.27B) and BULL (Webull Corporation (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 116.3x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $2.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EEFT leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while WT leads on capital efficiency (33.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MIAX?
Per MIAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001438472), Miami International Holdings Inc. generated $1.36B in revenue (+19.6% YoY), -$70.0M in net income, and $145.0M in free cash flow against $1.26B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MIAX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MIAX last traded at $31.44 (-1.69% on volume of 1,566,502 shares), positioning the stock -13.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($36.49) and -24.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($41.38). Across its 52-week range of $29.06 to $57.14, MIAX sits at the 8.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($28.30 to $34.58).
MIAX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MIAX stock moving today?
Why MIAX Stock slipped -1.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.