Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$26.22 -1.39% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.03B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$34 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $26.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
56% Calls / 44% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.8x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$26.00
-0.84% vs. current $26.22 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±6.6%
Expected event band around $26.22

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MGY)

$20
6,313C / 11,538P
$22.5
6,313C / 11,538P
$25
14,764C / 11,538P
$27.5
14,764C / 4,987P
$30
14,764C / 4,987P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading MGY & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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MGY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.37%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $26.52H $26.70L $26.25C $26.50VOL 2.39M
RES: $29.33SUP: $23.02SMA50: $25.73SMA200: $27.09
$31.82$29.47$27.12$24.77$22.42RES $29.33SUP $23.02$26.502026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MGY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MGY's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in MGY show 56% bullish call premium versus 44% put premium, centered near a $26 max-pain strike.