Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$26.22 -1.39% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.03B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$34 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $26.00
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.41% Total Yield
1.61% Cash ($0.42/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,488

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $665/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.1K
Yr 4
$14.0K
Yr 5
$14.9K
Yr 6
$16.0K
Yr 7
$17.1K
Yr 8
$18.2K
Yr 9
$19.5K
Yr 10
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher + Senior Cash-Flow & Income Strategist

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Collecting Safe Yield & Upside in MGY & Top A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on MGY and its top sector rival
  • ✓The Top 5 Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with heavy executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes free daily Morning Market Weather & signal upgrade/downgrade dispatch
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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MGY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.37%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $26.52H $26.70L $26.25C $26.50VOL 2.39M
RES: $29.33SUP: $23.02SMA50: $25.73SMA200: $27.09
$31.82$29.47$27.12$24.77$22.42RES $29.33SUP $23.02$26.502026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MGY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does MGY pay a dividend and is it safe?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) offers a 1.61% cash dividend yield ($0.42 annualized) and 3.41% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.