Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$26.22 -1.39% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.03B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$34 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $26.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How MGY Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$819.6M (62.5% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.31BGross Profit $577.2M (44%)Cost of Sales $734.6MOp Profit $439.2M (33.5%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $138.0MNet Profit$325.3M (24.8%)Tax/Other $113.9M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.23B
FY24
Rev $1.32B
FY25
Rev $1.31B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.31B44%33.5%$325.3M$819.6M22.8%
FY 2024$1.32B44%38.9%$366.0M$861.6M27.2%
FY 2023$1.23B44%43.6%$388.3M$800.6M18.1%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring MGY)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of MGY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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MGY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.37%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $26.52H $26.70L $26.25C $26.50VOL 2.39M
RES: $29.33SUP: $23.02SMA50: $25.73SMA200: $27.09
$31.82$29.47$27.12$24.77$22.42RES $29.33SUP $23.02$26.502026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MGY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), MGY converted $1.3B of revenue into a 44% gross margin, 33.5% operating margin, and $819.6M in free cash flow (62.5% FCF margin).