Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MGIH / earnings

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Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.4% Move

$1.35 +1.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.35

Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $15.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.35 (+0.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MGIH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MGIH SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 18.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.43-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.36-2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.32+2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.35-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MGIH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MGIH currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.48) and Max Pain ($1.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.08.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MGIH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MGIH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.4% Swing Band

±$0.14 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MGIH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 37/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -34.2%

Model Bullish Setup (37/100)Model Risk Weight (63/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$25.3M	-$6.3M	-$3.7M	18.5%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$38.5M	-$8.8M	-$6.5M	21.6%
FY 2023	2023-06-30	$45.6M	-$354.1K	$8.1M	18.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MGIH)

✓Walkthrough of MGIH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MGIH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.18%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.33H $1.38L $1.33C $1.35VOL 5.9K

RES: $1.51SUP: $1.26SMA50: $1.48SMA200: $1.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGIH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MGIH Butterfly Map → + Track MGIH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -34.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGIH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGIH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGIH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGIH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #877 of 1011 ⚔️ SFHG vs MGIH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MGIH vs. SFHG, CRE, PMTS, QUAD)

Industry: Publishing (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH) ranks #877 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #902 by equity capitalization ($15.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRE leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while CRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 41.9% gross margin. PMTS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with MGIH at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MGIH ACTIVE Millennium Group International Holdings Limited	D-	37/100	—	18.5%	—	+1.50%	$15.2M	Benchmark Subject
SFHG Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share	E	32/100	—	20.6%	-35.0%	0.00%	$8.3M	/sfhg-vs-mgih →
CRE Cre8 Enterprise Limited (Class A)	C+	69/100	7.6x	41.9%	85.0%	+4.06%	$5.2M	/cre-vs-mgih →
PMTS CPI Card Group Inc.	B	75/100	20.3x	31.3%	17.5%	+2.14%	$304.1M	/pmts-vs-mgih →
QUAD Quad Graphics Inc (Class A)	D	47/100	14.7x	21.6%	19.7%	-18.08%	$396.3M	/quad-vs-mgih →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001903995

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH) reported GAAP revenue of $25.3M (-34.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.5M , and -44.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.3M, operating cash flow of -$1.7M, and free cash flow of -$3.7M (+42.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGIH closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$25.3M	-$6.3M	-$1.7M	-$3.7M	—	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$38.5M	-$8.8M	-$4.1M	-$6.5M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$45.6M	-$354.1K	$8.1M	$8.1M	—	—

3. MGIH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MGIH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: MGIH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.35 (+1.50% 1D, market cap $15.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MGIH ranks #877 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MGIH compare to SFHG and CRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), MGIH carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.5%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SFHG (Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.3M) and CRE (Cre8 Enterprise Limited (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 7.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $5.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRE leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while CRE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGIH?

Per MGIH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001903995), Millennium Group International Holdings Limited generated $25.3M in revenue (-34.2% YoY), -$6.3M in net income, and -$3.7M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MGIH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MGIH last traded at $1.35 (+1.50% on volume of 11,188 shares), positioning the stock -8.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.48) and -9.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.49). Across its 52-week range of $1.11 to $1.98, MGIH sits at the 27.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($1.21 to $1.49).

MGIH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MGIH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is MGIH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.4% event move for MGIH, spanning a range between $1.21 and $1.49.

Direct Sub-Reports: MGIH RQD Cockpit MGIH 12M Forecast MGIH Earnings & Move MGIH Dividends & DRIP MGIH Insiders & 13F MGIH Whale Options MGIH Profit Sankey MGIH News & Why