Stock Ratings / Health Care / MESO / forecast

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Mesoblast Limited (MESO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$15.67 +17.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.12

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.04B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.12 (+2.88%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MESO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MESO SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$14.29-7.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$13.28-7.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$12.28+27.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$15.67+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MESO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, MESO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.93) or 200D SMA ($15.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.81) toward Bear Floor ($12.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MESO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MESO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MESO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $15.67: 638.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $12.33

$7,869

$-2,131 (-21.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $15.81

$10,089

+$89 (+0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $22.57

$14,403

+$4,403 (+44.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$16	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$21	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$14	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MESO Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MESO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.00%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $15.38H $15.69L $14.84C $15.67VOL 376.0K

RES: $16.78SUP: $11.54SMA50: $14.93SMA200: $15.41

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MESO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MESO Butterfly Map → + Track MESO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MESO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MESO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MESO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MESO)

Health Care Rank #202 of 1016 ⚔️ VIR vs MESO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MESO vs. VIR, ALVO, BCRX, VCEL)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mesoblast Limited (MESO) ranks #202 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #260 by equity capitalization ($2.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCRX leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while BCRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. BCRX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with MESO at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MESO ACTIVE Mesoblast Limited	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+17.03%	$2.04B	Benchmark Subject
VIR Vir Biotechnology Inc.	E	31/100	—	96.0%	-35.0%	-1.51%	$2.01B	/vir-vs-meso →
ALVO Alvotech	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.01%	$1.91B	/alvo-vs-meso →
BCRX BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc.	B+	78/100	8.3x	—	85.0%	+1.79%	$2.18B	/bcrx-vs-meso →
VCEL Vericel Corporation	C+	67/100	133.0x	74.4%	3.4%	+4.43%	$2.20B	/vcel-vs-meso →

2. MESO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) operates in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (Health Care) with an equity capitalization of $2.04B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. MESO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MESO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Mesoblast Limited (NASDAQ: MESO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $15.67 (+17.03% 1D, market cap $2.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MESO ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MESO compare to VIR and ALVO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), MESO carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VIR (Vir Biotechnology Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.01B) and ALVO (Alvotech) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCRX leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while BCRX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MESO?

For Mesoblast Limited (MESO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #202 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MESO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MESO last traded at $15.67 (+17.03% on volume of 698,557 shares), positioning the stock +4.96% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.93) and +1.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.41). Across its 52-week range of $11.89 to $21.50, MESO sits at the 39.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($14.60 to $16.74).

MESO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MESO's 12-month stock price target?

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $15.81 (+0.9% from $15.67), with a bull-case target of $22.57 and a bear-case floor of $12.33.