MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why MDBH Stock surged +9.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.81 +9.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.84
MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common (MDBH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $9.8M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.84 (+1.56%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MDBH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MDBH SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 18% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$2.05-13.7% Next Q
62
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$1.77-2.8% Next Q
59
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$1.72+5.2% Next Q
57
CurrentGrade D+$1.81-0.7% Hist 90D α
54
Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MDBH Turnaround Squeeze
While MDBH currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.40) and Max Pain ($1.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.37.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MDBH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MDBH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MDBH Stock surged +9.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common (MDBH) surged +9.70% to $1.81, trading at 18% of its 52-week range ($1.31 – $4.16). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 18% of its 52-week range ($1.31 – $4.16) with RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.81 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live MDBH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MDBH)
- ✓Walkthrough of MDBH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MDBH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.16%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $1.31H $1.81L $1.31C $1.81VOL 4.1K
RES: $2.73SUP: $2.08SMA50: $2.40SMA200: $3.03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MDBH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MDBH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MDBH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MDBH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MDBH)
Financials Rank #725 of 1096
⚔️ ICMB vs MDBH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MDBH vs. ICMB, BTCT, NCPL, BENF)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common (MDBH) ranks #725 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #1075 by equity capitalization ($9.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MDBH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MDBH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. NCPL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with MDBH at 54/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDBH
ACTIVE
MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | 8.2% | +9.70% | $9.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| ICMB Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | -14.9% | +0.07% | $10.8M | /icmb-vs-mdbh → |
| BTCT BTC Digital Ltd. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -18.9% | -3.62% | $8.4M | /btct-vs-mdbh → |
| NCPL Netcapital Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +61.82% | $14.3M | /ncpl-vs-mdbh → |
| BENF Beneficient (Class A) | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.30% | $15.3M | /benf-vs-mdbh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001934642In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common (MDBH) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$21.2M, operating cash flow of -$5.7M, and free cash flow of -$5.7M (+37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MDBH closed FY2025 with $63.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$21.2M | -$5.7M | -$5.7M | $63.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $11.7M | -$9.0M | -$9.0M | $72.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$7.0M | -$7.1M | -$7.1M | — | — |
3. MDBH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MDBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common (NASDAQ: MDBH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $1.81 (+9.70% 1D, market cap $9.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MDBH ranks #725 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MDBH compare to ICMB and BTCT in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), MDBH carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, ICMB (Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $10.8M) and BTCT (BTC Digital Ltd.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.9%, cap $8.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MDBH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MDBH leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDBH?
Per MDBH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001934642), MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common generated $0 in revenue, -$21.2M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $63.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MDBH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MDBH last traded at $1.81 (+9.70% on volume of 1,773 shares), positioning the stock -24.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.40) and -40.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.03). Across its 52-week range of $1.31 to $4.16, MDBH sits at the 17.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.58 to $2.04).
MDBH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MDBH stock moving today?
Why MDBH Stock surged +9.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.