Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.2% Move

$81.12 +1.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $44.05B
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$111 Bull$85 Base$66 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MCHP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.2% Swing Band

±$6.65 Expected Swing
$74.47 (-8.2%)Spot $81.12$87.77 (+8.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MCHP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.1%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-03-31$4.71B$230.0M$871.0M57.7%
FY 20242025-03-31$4.40B-$500.0K$772.1M56.1%
FY 20232024-03-31$7.63B$1.91B$2.55B57.7%
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MCHP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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MCHP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.88%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-01O $79.63H $81.12L $79.63C $81.12VOL 7.96M
RES: $82.02SUP: $66.33SMA50: $75.36SMA200: $79.74
$108.6$97.58$86.61$75.63$64.65RES $82.02SUP $66.33$81.122026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-01
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MCHP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MCHP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MCHP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MCHP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MCHP)

Technology Rank #89 of 241 ⚔️ STM vs MCHP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MCHP vs. STM, UMC, ALAB, MPWR)

Industry: Semiconductors (45 Tracked Issuers)

Across 241 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) ranks #89 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #73 by equity capitalization ($44.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UMC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while UMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. MCHP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MCHP ACTIVE
Microchip Technology Incorporated
C+ 68/100 — 57.7% 3.3% +1.87% $44.05B Benchmark Subject
STM
STMicroelectronics N.V.
D+ 56/100 — 33.9% 0.8% +3.03% $44.62B /stm-vs-mchp →
UMC
United Microelectronics Corporation
C 65/100 21.7x — 14.9% -4.14% $45.42B /umc-vs-mchp →
ALAB
Astera Labs Inc.
C+ 68/100 — 75.7% 3.4% -2.28% $50.39B /alab-vs-mchp →
MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems Inc.
C- 61/100 94.8x 55.2% 12.2% -1.02% $58.91B /mpwr-vs-mchp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000827054

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) reported GAAP revenue of $4.71B (+7.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.40B , and -38.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $230.0M, operating cash flow of $962.1M, and free cash flow of $871.0M (+12.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MCHP closed FY2025 with $14.33B in total assets against $5.37B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.88, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $4.71B $230.0M $962.1M $871.0M $14.33B $5.37B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $4.40B -$500.0K $898.1M $772.1M $15.63B $6.75B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $7.63B $1.91B $2.89B $2.55B $24.23B $5.67B

3. MCHP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MCHP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ: MCHP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $81.12 (+1.87% 1D, market cap $44.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 241 tracked Technology issuers, MCHP ranks #89 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MCHP compare to STM and UMC in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), MCHP carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.7%, and ROIC of 3.3%. By comparison, STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $44.62B) and UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $45.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCHP?

Per MCHP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000827054), Microchip Technology Incorporated generated $4.71B in revenue (+7.1% YoY), $230.0M in net income, and $871.0M in free cash flow against $14.33B in total assets and $5.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MCHP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MCHP last traded at $81.12 (+1.87% on volume of 7,963,572 shares), positioning the stock +7.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($75.36) and +1.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($79.74). Across its 52-week range of $48.52 to $105.91, MCHP sits at the 56.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($74.47 to $87.77).

MCHP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MCHP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is MCHP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.2% event move for MCHP, spanning a range between $74.47 and $87.77.