Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / LSF / earnings

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Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.67 -0.74% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.66

Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $29.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.66 (-0.32%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LSF SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.92-10.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.61+5.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.76-3.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.67-9.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LSF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LSF currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.40) and Max Pain ($2.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.37.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LSF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.33 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LSF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 32/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 15.2%

Model Bullish Setup (32/100)Model Risk Weight (68/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$49.9M	-$3.3M	-$2.9M	37.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$43.3M	-$1.8M	$840.7K	40.9%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$34.2M	-$10.2M	-$10.8M	37.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LSF)

✓Walkthrough of LSF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.30%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $2.61H $2.69L $2.45C $2.67VOL 33.7K

RES: $5.08SUP: $2.34SMA50: $3.40SMA200: $3.38

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LSF Butterfly Map → + Track LSF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LSF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LSF)

Consumer Staples Rank #139 of 146 ⚔️ JVA vs LSF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (LSF vs. JVA, BOF, BRLS, SOWG)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) ranks #139 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #114 by equity capitalization ($29.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JVA leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while JVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. JVA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with LSF at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LSF ACTIVE Laird Superfood Inc.	E	32/100	—	37.9%	-35.0%	-0.74%	$29.9M	Benchmark Subject
JVA Coffee Holding Co. Inc.	D	46/100	20.8x	16.0%	6.5%	+1.59%	$29.2M	/jva-vs-lsf →
BOF BranchOut Food Inc.	E	24/100	—	14.8%	-35.0%	-2.25%	$33.4M	/bof-vs-lsf →
BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	11.2%	-35.0%	+1.87%	$23.4M	/brls-vs-lsf →
SOWG Sow Good Inc.	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.89%	$43.0M	/sowg-vs-lsf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001650696

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) reported GAAP revenue of $49.9M (+15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $43.3M , and +45.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.3M, operating cash flow of -$2.8M, and free cash flow of -$2.9M (-440.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, LSF closed FY2025 with $19.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$49.9M	-$3.3M	-$2.8M	-$2.9M	$19.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$43.3M	-$1.8M	$865.5K	$840.7K	$19.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$34.2M	-$10.2M	-$10.8M	-$10.8M	—	—

3. LSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Laird Superfood Inc. (NYSE: LSF) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.67 (-0.74% 1D, market cap $29.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, LSF ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LSF compare to JVA and BOF in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), LSF carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, JVA (Coffee Holding Co. Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 20.8x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $29.2M) and BOF (BranchOut Food Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $33.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JVA leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while JVA leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSF?

Per LSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001650696), Laird Superfood Inc. generated $49.9M in revenue (+15.2% YoY), -$3.3M in net income, and -$2.9M in free cash flow against $19.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LSF last traded at $2.67 (-0.74% on volume of 14,326 shares), positioning the stock -21.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.40) and -21.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.38). Across its 52-week range of $1.96 to $5.11, LSF sits at the 22.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.34 to $3.00).