Stock Ratings / Financials / LSBK / earnings

FGBI (39) MGYR (63) RVSB (49) BVFL (62) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (LSBK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.3% Move

$19.04 +0.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.01

Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (LSBK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $149.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LSBK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LSBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-01, Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: LSBK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $19.04 (+0.32% 1D, market cap $149.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LSBK ranks #523 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LSBK compare to FGBI and MGYR in the Financials sector?

▼

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), LSBK carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, FGBI (First Guaranty Bancshares Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $161.6M) and MGYR (Magyar Bancorp Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $130.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGYR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while MGYR leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSBK?

▼

Per LSBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002059653), Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $7.3M in net income, and $8.0M in free cash flow against $727.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.02 (-0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LSBK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LSBK SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($8.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$18.25-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$18.23+2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$18.61+2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$19.04+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LSBK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, LSBK faces multiple-compression risk if 20.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.01) or 200D SMA ($16.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.21) toward Bear Floor ($14.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LSBK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LSBK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.3% Swing Band

±$1.01 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LSBK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 60/100

Trailing EPS: $0.93 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (60/100)Model Risk Weight (40/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$7.3M	$8.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$4.9M	$2.5M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$4.8M	$4.3M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LSBK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LSBK
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LSBK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.60%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $19.34H $19.34L $18.47C $19.04VOL 15.7K

RES: $19.83SUP: $17.12SMA50: $18.01SMA200: $16.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LSBK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LSBK Butterfly Map → + Track LSBK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LSBK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LSBK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LSBK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LSBK)

Financials Rank #523 of 1096 ⚔️ FGBI vs LSBK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LSBK vs. FGBI, MGYR, RVSB, BVFL)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (LSBK) ranks #523 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #929 by equity capitalization ($149.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGYR leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while MGYR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MGYR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with LSBK at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LSBK ACTIVE Lake Shore Bancorp Inc.	C-	60/100	20.6x	—	5.1%	+0.32%	$149.5M	Benchmark Subject
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	-16.1%	+4.49%	$161.6M	/fgbi-vs-lsbk →
MGYR Magyar Bancorp Inc.	C	63/100	13.4x	—	8.0%	+0.45%	$130.7M	/mgyr-vs-lsbk →
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc	D	49/100	—	—	-2.6%	-1.82%	$119.4M	/rvsb-vs-lsbk →
BVFL BV Financial Inc.	C	62/100	14.0x	—	7.3%	+1.00%	$189.1M	/bvfl-vs-lsbk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002059653

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (LSBK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $7.3M, operating cash flow of $8.0M, and free cash flow of $8.0M (+218.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LSBK closed FY2025 with $727.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$7.3M	$8.0M	$8.0M	$727.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$4.9M	$2.5M	$2.5M	$685.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$4.8M	—	—	—	—

3. LSBK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LSBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LSBK compare to FGBI and MGYR in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSBK?

Where is LSBK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LSBK last traded at $19.04 (+0.32% on volume of 17,531 shares), positioning the stock +5.72% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.01) and +15.25% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.52). Across its 52-week range of $13.83 to $19.34, LSBK sits at the 94.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($18.03 to $20.05).