Stock Ratings / Materials / LPX / earnings

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Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.7% Move

$73.46 +4.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.14B

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LPX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.7% Swing Band

±$5.66 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LPX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $2.09 • YoY Revenue Growth: -7.9%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.71B	$146.0M	$91.0M	21.8%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.94B	$420.0M	$422.0M	28.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.58B	$178.0M	$199.9M	21.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LPX)

✓Walkthrough of LPX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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LPX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.45%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-01O $70.06H $73.46L $70.06C $73.46VOL 1.21M

RES: $74.36SUP: $57.95SMA50: $68.45SMA200: $75.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LPX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LPX Butterfly Map → + Track LPX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LPX today. View full Setup Ledger →

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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LPX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LPX)

Materials Rank #30 of 72 ⚔️ TREX vs LPX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LPX vs. TREX, FBIN, UFPI, CE)

Industry: Forest Products (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 72 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) ranks #30 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #67 by equity capitalization ($5.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBIN leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while TREX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 39.2% gross margin. TREX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with LPX at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LPX ACTIVE Louisiana-Pacific Corporation	D+	58/100	35.2x	21.8%	9.2%	+4.85%	$5.14B	Benchmark Subject
TREX Trex Company Inc.	B+	78/100	27.2x	39.2%	16.9%	+2.64%	$5.18B	/trex-vs-lpx →
FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.	C	62/100	13.1x	44.6%	8.7%	+4.75%	$5.27B	/fbin-vs-lpx →
UFPI UFP Industries Inc.	C+	67/100	15.3x	16.8%	12.1%	+4.13%	$4.50B	/ufpi-vs-lpx →
CE Celanese Corporation	D	44/100	—	20.5%	-10.7%	-1.08%	$5.30B	/ce-vs-lpx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000060519

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) reported GAAP revenue of $2.71B (-7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.94B , and +4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $146.0M, operating cash flow of $382.0M, and free cash flow of $91.0M (-78.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, LPX closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $348.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.83, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.71B	$146.0M	$382.0M	$91.0M	$2.63B	$348.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.94B	$420.0M	$605.0M	$422.0M	$2.56B	$348.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.58B	$178.0M	$316.0M	$199.9M	$3.10B	$724.7M

3. LPX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LPX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (NYSE: LPX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $73.46 (+4.85% 1D, market cap $5.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 72 tracked Materials issuers, LPX ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LPX compare to TREX and FBIN in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Forest Products), LPX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.2x, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, TREX (Trex Company Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 27.2x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $5.18B) and FBIN (Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 13.1x, ROIC 8.7%, cap $5.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBIN leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while TREX leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPX?

Per LPX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000060519), Louisiana-Pacific Corporation generated $2.71B in revenue (-7.9% YoY), $146.0M in net income, and $91.0M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $348.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LPX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LPX last traded at $73.46 (+4.85% on volume of 1,214,743 shares), positioning the stock +7.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($68.45) and -2.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($75.08). Across its 52-week range of $62.18 to $100.34, LPX sits at the 29.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($67.80 to $79.12).

LPX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LPX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LPX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.7% event move for LPX, spanning a range between $67.8 and $79.12.

Direct Sub-Reports: LPX RQD Cockpit LPX 12M Forecast LPX Earnings & Move LPX Dividends & DRIP LPX Insiders & 13F LPX Whale Options LPX Profit Sankey LPX News & Why