CATALYSTFintel • 10d ago
BrasilAgro Shareholders Approve Merger of Agrifirma Agro Ltda. and R$30,000,000.00 Interim DividendWhy LND Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.18 +0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.18
Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) (LND) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $326.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.18 (-0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LND SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$3.78-5% Next Q
63
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$3.59+0.3% Next Q
60
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$3.60-11.7% Next Q
58
CurrentGrade D+$3.18-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LND Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, LND faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.62) or 200D SMA ($3.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.14) toward Bear Floor ($2.45).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LND• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LND Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LND Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) (LND) advanced +0.95% to $3.18, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($3.12 – $4.45). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($3.12 – $4.45) with RSI-14 at 29 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $3.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $9.1M annual free cash flow.
Live LND Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LND)
- ✓Walkthrough of LND's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.54%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $3.16H $3.23L $3.15C $3.18VOL 51.1K
RES: $3.77SUP: $3.11SMA50: $3.62SMA200: $3.80
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LND today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LND)
Consumer Staples Rank #79 of 146
⚔️ VFF vs LND Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (LND vs. VFF, ALCO, BNC, LMNR)
Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) (LND) ranks #79 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #91 by equity capitalization ($326.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VFF leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while VFF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.5% ROIC and 40.6% gross margin. VFF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with LND at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LND
ACTIVE
Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | — | +0.95% | $326.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| VFF Village Farms International Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 9.8x | 40.6% | 10.5% | +0.39% | $316.7M | /vff-vs-lnd → |
| ALCO Alico Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | +0.51% | $278.7M | /alco-vs-lnd → |
| BNC BNB Standard Corporation | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.08% | $263.9M | /bnc-vs-lnd → |
| LMNR Limoneira Co | E | 34/100 | — | -0.7% | -6.0% | +0.82% | $200.5M | /lmnr-vs-lnd → |
2. LND Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTBrasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) (LND) operates in Farming/Seeds/Milling (Consumer Staples) with an equity capitalization of $326.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. LND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) (NYSE: LND) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $3.18 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $326.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, LND ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LND compare to VFF and ALCO in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), LND carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VFF (Village Farms International Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 9.8x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $316.7M) and ALCO (Alico Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $278.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VFF leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while VFF leads on capital efficiency (10.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LND?
For Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) (LND), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #79 in Consumer Staples, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LND last traded at $3.18 (+0.95% on volume of 79,391 shares), positioning the stock -12.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.62) and -16.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.80). Across its 52-week range of $3.12 to $4.45, LND sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($2.98 to $3.38).
LND Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LND stock moving today?
Why LND Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.