MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why LIND Stock surged +4.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$37.38 +4.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.60
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. (LIND) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.45B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.60 (+0.59%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 1.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LIND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LIND SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.6% FCF Margin ($63.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (19% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$35.82-3.5% Next Q
60
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$34.55-0.9% Next Q
63
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$34.24+9.2% Next Q
65
CurrentGrade C+$37.38+1.8% Hist 90D α
68
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LIND Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, LIND faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($31.28) or 200D SMA ($24.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.06) toward Bear Floor ($30.47).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LIND• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LIND Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LIND Stock surged +4.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. (LIND) surged +4.36% to $37.38, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($11.37 – $37.47). Solid steady margins (29% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($11.37 – $37.47) with RSI-14 at 67 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.8% around $37.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $63.8M annual free cash flow.
Live LIND Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LIND Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LIND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +101.73%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $36.82H $37.38L $36.27C $37.38VOL 760.5K
RES: $37.52SUP: $27.46SMA50: $31.28SMA200: $24.43
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LIND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LIND today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LIND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LIND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LIND)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #216 of 1011
⚔️ MMYT vs LIND Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LIND vs. MMYT, BWLP, RXO, VTOL)
Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. (LIND) ranks #216 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #389 by equity capitalization ($2.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTOL leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while LIND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and — gross margin. VTOL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with LIND at 68/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIND
ACTIVE
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | — | — | 29.3% | +4.36% | $2.45B | Benchmark Subject |
| MMYT MakeMyTrip Limited | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | +1.39% | $4.04B | /mmyt-vs-lind → |
| BWLP BW LPG Limited | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +1.01% | $4.12B | /bwlp-vs-lind → |
| RXO RXO Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | -2.9% | +0.18% | $4.56B | /rxo-vs-lind → |
| VTOL Bristow Group Inc. | B | 72/100 | 9.7x | — | 8.9% | +1.47% | $1.25B | /vtol-vs-lind → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001512499In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. (LIND) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$34.6M, operating cash flow of $111.6M, and free cash flow of $63.8M (+8.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LIND closed FY2025 with $980.0M in total assets against $662.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$34.6M | $111.6M | $63.8M | $980.0M | $662.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$35.8M | $92.4M | $58.8M | $876.9M | $625.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$50.0M | $25.4M | $25.4M | — | — |
3. LIND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LIND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: LIND) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $37.38 (+4.36% 1D, market cap $2.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LIND ranks #216 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LIND compare to MMYT and BWLP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), LIND carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.3%. By comparison, MMYT (MakeMyTrip Limited) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.04B) and BWLP (BW LPG Limited) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTOL leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while LIND leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIND?
Per LIND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001512499), Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$34.6M in net income, and $63.8M in free cash flow against $980.0M in total assets and $662.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LIND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LIND last traded at $37.38 (+4.36% on volume of 838,183 shares), positioning the stock +19.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($31.28) and +53.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.43). Across its 52-week range of $11.37 to $37.47, LIND sits at the 99.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($34.09 to $40.67).
LIND Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LIND stock moving today?
Why LIND Stock surged +4.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (29% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.