Stock Ratings / Technology / LASR / earnings

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nLIGHT Inc. (LASR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.3% Move

$39.01 +1.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.03

nLIGHT Inc. (LASR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.25B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.03 (+0.05%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LASR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LASR SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 14.95 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.7% FCF Margin ($12.3M FCF) & 29.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$38.48-12.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$33.67+7.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$36.34+7.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$39.01+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LASR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, LASR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($39.49) or 200D SMA ($57.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.54) toward Bear Floor ($30.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LASR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LASR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.3% Swing Band

±$4.02 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LASR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 31.6%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$261.3M	-$23.5M	$12.3M	29.8%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$198.5M	-$60.8M	-$10.3M	16.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$209.9M	-$41.7M	$10.1M	29.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LASR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LASR
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LASR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.15%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $37.06H $39.01L $35.88C $39.01VOL 789.3K

RES: $73.14SUP: $31.24SMA50: $39.49SMA200: $57.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LASR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LASR Butterfly Map → + Track LASR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +31.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LASR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LASR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LASR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LASR)

Technology Rank #235 of 714 ⚔️ NVTS vs LASR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LASR vs. NVTS, IMOS, HIMX, UCTT)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, nLIGHT Inc. (LASR) ranks #235 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #282 by equity capitalization ($2.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LASR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while UCTT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -9.8% ROIC and 15.7% gross margin. LASR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LASR ACTIVE nLIGHT Inc.	C-	61/100	—	29.8%	-16.4%	+1.33%	$2.25B	Benchmark Subject
NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corporation	D-	42/100	—	31.0%	-35.0%	-1.71%	$2.40B	/nvts-vs-lasr →
IMOS ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-4.10%	$2.08B	/imos-vs-lasr →
HIMX Himax Technologies Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.66%	$2.04B	/himx-vs-lasr →
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.	D-	43/100	—	15.7%	-9.8%	-2.11%	$2.62B	/uctt-vs-lasr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001124796

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), nLIGHT Inc. (LASR) reported GAAP revenue of $261.3M (+31.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $198.5M , and +24.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$23.5M, operating cash flow of $21.3M, and free cash flow of $12.3M (+219.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LASR closed FY2025 with $315.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 14.95, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$261.3M	-$23.5M	$21.3M	$12.3M	$315.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$198.5M	-$60.8M	-$2.4M	-$10.3M	$270.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$209.9M	-$41.7M	$10.1M	$10.1M	—	—

3. LASR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LASR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, nLIGHT Inc. (NASDAQ: LASR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $39.01 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $2.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LASR ranks #235 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LASR compare to NVTS and IMOS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LASR carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.8%, and ROIC of -16.4%. By comparison, NVTS (Navitas Semiconductor Corporation) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.40B) and IMOS (ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LASR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UCTT leads on capital efficiency (-9.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LASR?

Per LASR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001124796), nLIGHT Inc. generated $261.3M in revenue (+31.6% YoY), -$23.5M in net income, and $12.3M in free cash flow against $315.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LASR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LASR last traded at $39.01 (+1.33% on volume of 810,348 shares), positioning the stock -1.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($39.49) and -32.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($57.71). Across its 52-week range of $28.05 to $86.95, LASR sits at the 18.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($34.99 to $43.03).

LASR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LASR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, nLIGHT Inc. (LASR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LASR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.3% event move for LASR, spanning a range between $34.99 and $43.03.

Direct Sub-Reports: LASR RQD Cockpit LASR 12M Forecast LASR Earnings & Move LASR Dividends & DRIP LASR Insiders & 13F LASR Whale Options LASR Profit Sankey LASR News & Why