Kyverna Therapeutics Inc. (KYTX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.85 -0.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Kyverna Therapeutics Inc. (KYTX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $361.8M
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$14 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KYTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your KYTX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.85: 1709.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.24
$7,248
$-2,752 (-27.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.43
$9,282
$-718 (-7.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $14.35
$24,530
+$14,530 (+145.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$558%C
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KYTX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KYTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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KYTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.52%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $5.74H $5.87L $5.55C $5.85VOL 640.1K
RES: $7.19SUP: $5.07SMA50: $6.91SMA200: $8.09
$11.57$9.83$8.10$6.36$4.62RES $7.19SUP $5.07$5.852026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KYTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KYTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KYTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KYTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KYTX)

Health Care Rank #573 of 1016 ⚔️ ZURA vs KYTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (KYTX vs. ZURA, TRXB, IRLA, FENC)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kyverna Therapeutics Inc. (KYTX) ranks #573 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #497 by equity capitalization ($361.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KYTX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while FENC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -25.9% ROIC and — gross margin. TRXB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with KYTX at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KYTX ACTIVE
Kyverna Therapeutics Inc.
D- 42/100 — — -35.0% -0.68% $361.8M Benchmark Subject
ZURA
Zura Bio Limited (Class A)
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -11.49% $370.9M /zura-vs-kytx →
TRXB
TRex Bio Inc.
D 49/100 — — — -6.31% $371.1M /trxb-vs-kytx →
IRLA
IRulya Therapeutics Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -4.05% $342.8M /irla-vs-kytx →
FENC
Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -25.9% +0.74% $383.6M /fenc-vs-kytx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001994702

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kyverna Therapeutics Inc. (KYTX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$161.3M, operating cash flow of -$153.7M, and free cash flow of -$153.7M (-32.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, KYTX closed FY2025 with $293.8M in total assets against $24.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$161.3M -$153.7M -$153.7M $293.8M $24.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$127.5M -$114.3M -$116.5M $304.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$60.4M -$52.4M -$52.4M — —

3. KYTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KYTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kyverna Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: KYTX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $5.85 (-0.68% 1D, market cap $361.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KYTX ranks #573 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KYTX compare to ZURA and TRXB in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), KYTX carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ZURA (Zura Bio Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $370.9M) and TRXB (TRex Bio Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $371.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KYTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FENC leads on capital efficiency (-25.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KYTX?

Per KYTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001994702), Kyverna Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$161.3M in net income, and -$153.7M in free cash flow against $293.8M in total assets and $24.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KYTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KYTX last traded at $5.85 (-0.68% on volume of 854,652 shares), positioning the stock -15.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.91) and -27.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.09). Across its 52-week range of $5.16 to $13.67, KYTX sits at the 8.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.12 to $6.58).

KYTX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is KYTX's 12-month stock price target?

Kyverna Therapeutics Inc. (KYTX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $5.43 (-7.2% from $5.85), with a bull-case target of $14.35 and a bear-case floor of $4.24.

Is KYTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates KYTX D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 42/100.

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