Stock Ratings / Technology / KTCC / options

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Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.16 +0.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.16

Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $23.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.16 (-0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KTCC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KTCC SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.12+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.12+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.12+1.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.16-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KTCC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KTCC currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.40) and Max Pain ($2.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KTCC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KTCC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±9.8%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (KTCC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for KTCC.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KTCC)

✓Walkthrough of KTCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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KTCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.94%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.17H $2.24L $2.09C $2.16VOL 8.1K

RES: $4.24SUP: $1.81SMA50: $2.40SMA200: $3.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KTCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KTCC Butterfly Map → + Track KTCC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -17.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KTCC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KTCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KTCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KTCC)

Technology Rank #578 of 714 ⚔️ ELTK vs KTCC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (KTCC vs. ELTK, KULR, RFIL, CETX)

Industry: Electrical Products (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) ranks #578 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #602 by equity capitalization ($23.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ELTK leads on earnings valuation at 48.9x trailing P/E, while RFIL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.6% ROIC and 33.2% gross margin. RFIL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with KTCC at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KTCC ACTIVE Key Tronic Corporation	D-	38/100	—	6.2%	-5.9%	+0.94%	$23.9M	Benchmark Subject
ELTK Eltek Ltd.	D-	39/100	48.9x	15.4%	4.2%	-4.90%	$40.4M	/eltk-vs-ktcc →
KULR KULR Technology Group Inc.	D-	42/100	—	4.8%	-31.4%	+1.18%	$79.1M	/kulr-vs-ktcc →
RFIL RF Industries Ltd.	C+	69/100	—	33.2%	4.6%	+3.52%	$86.2M	/rfil-vs-ktcc →
CETX Cemtrex Inc.	D	44/100	—	42.2%	2.4%	+0.56%	$3.2M	/cetx-vs-ktcc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-27 • CIK 0000719733

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27), Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) reported GAAP revenue of $386.7M (-17.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $467.9M , and -36.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$47.8M, operating cash flow of $4.4M, and free cash flow of -$1.9M (-113.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, KTCC closed FY2025 with $325.3M in total assets against $90.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.74, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-27	$386.7M	-$47.8M	$4.4M	-$1.9M	$325.3M	$90.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-28	$467.9M	-$8.3M	$18.9M	$14.8M	$327.8M	$106.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-07-01	$605.3M	$5.2M	-$11.3M	-$11.3M	—	—

3. KTCC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KTCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Key Tronic Corporation (NASDAQ: KTCC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $2.16 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $23.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, KTCC ranks #578 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KTCC compare to ELTK and KULR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), KTCC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 6.2%, and ROIC of -5.9%. By comparison, ELTK (Eltek Ltd.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 48.9x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $40.4M) and KULR (KULR Technology Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.4%, cap $79.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELTK leads on earnings multiple (48.9x) while RFIL leads on capital efficiency (4.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KTCC?

Per KTCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27, CIK 0000719733), Key Tronic Corporation generated $386.7M in revenue (-17.4% YoY), -$47.8M in net income, and -$1.9M in free cash flow against $325.3M in total assets and $90.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KTCC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KTCC last traded at $2.16 (+0.94% on volume of 7,516 shares), positioning the stock -10.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.40) and -29.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.08). Across its 52-week range of $2.04 to $4.42, KTCC sits at the 5.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($1.95 to $2.37).

KTCC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is KTCC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for KTCC.

Direct Sub-Reports: KTCC RQD Cockpit KTCC 12M Forecast KTCC Earnings & Move KTCC Dividends & DRIP KTCC Insiders & 13F KTCC Whale Options KTCC Profit Sankey KTCC News & Why