Keros Therapeutics Inc. (KROS) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$11.04 -2.82% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.96

Keros Therapeutics Inc. (KROS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $225.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KROS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Keros Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: KROS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $11.04 (-2.82% 1D, market cap $225.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KROS ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KROS compare to SLGL and PYXS in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), KROS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, SLGL (Sol-Gel Technologies Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $224.8M) and PYXS (Pyxis Oncology Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $226.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SIGA leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while KROS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KROS?
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Per KROS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001664710), Keros Therapeutics Inc. generated $244.1M in revenue (+6775.0% YoY), $87.0M in net income, and $106.0M in free cash flow against $338.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.96 (-0.70%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 43.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (19)Whales (6)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$24 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE KROS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KROS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KROS SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 43.4% FCF Margin ($106.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.31 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$11.61-4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$11.06+2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$11.33-2.6% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$11.04+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KROS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, KROS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.26) or 200D SMA ($12.02) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.44) toward Bear Floor ($8.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KROS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KROS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

KROS Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (KROS)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on KROS. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KROS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
KROS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $11.12H $11.39L $10.65C $11.04VOL 19.7K
RES: $12.54SUP: $9.69SMA50: $11.26SMA200: $12.02
$15.96$14.26$12.56$10.86$9.16RES $12.54SUP $9.69$11.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KROS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KROS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KROS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KROS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KROS)

Health Care Rank #120 of 1016 ⚔️ SLGL vs KROS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (KROS vs. SLGL, PYXS, SIGA, BBOT)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Keros Therapeutics Inc. (KROS) ranks #120 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #561 by equity capitalization ($225.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SIGA leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while KROS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SIGA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with KROS at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KROS ACTIVE
Keros Therapeutics Inc.
C+ 66/100 — — 85.0% -2.82% $225.2M Benchmark Subject
SLGL
Sol-Gel Technologies Ltd.
D+ 54/100 — — -35.0% -0.45% $224.8M /slgl-vs-kros →
PYXS
Pyxis Oncology Inc.
E 29/100 — 82.8% -35.0% -4.23% $226.0M /pyxs-vs-kros →
SIGA
SIGA Technologies Inc.
B 72/100 9.8x 68.6% 42.7% -4.40% $228.5M /siga-vs-kros →
BBOT
BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -2.96% $216.5M /bbot-vs-kros →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001664710

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Keros Therapeutics Inc. (KROS) reported GAAP revenue of $244.1M (+6775.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.5M , and +161529.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $87.0M, operating cash flow of $107.5M, and free cash flow of $106.0M (+165.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, KROS closed FY2025 with $338.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.31, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $244.1M $87.0M $107.5M $106.0M $338.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.5M -$187.4M -$160.9M -$162.8M $615.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $151.0K -$153.0M -$124.5M -$124.5M — —

3. KROS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KROS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Keros Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: KROS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $11.04 (-2.82% 1D, market cap $225.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KROS ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KROS compare to SLGL and PYXS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), KROS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, SLGL (Sol-Gel Technologies Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $224.8M) and PYXS (Pyxis Oncology Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $226.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SIGA leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while KROS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KROS?

Per KROS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001664710), Keros Therapeutics Inc. generated $244.1M in revenue (+6775.0% YoY), $87.0M in net income, and $106.0M in free cash flow against $338.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KROS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KROS last traded at $11.04 (-2.82% on volume of 120,168 shares), positioning the stock -1.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.26) and -8.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.02). Across its 52-week range of $9.69 to $22.55, KROS sits at the 10.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($9.89 to $12.19).

KROS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are KROS insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies KROS leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KROS — Keros Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, KROS scores 66 out of 100 (letter grade C+), with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 19 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 85% and an FCF yield of 0%. The high ROIC is the strongest signal in the rating, but the 0% FCF yield indicates that the return metric is not translating into free cash flow relative to market value at the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. Investors should interpret this as limited evidence of large-holder conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score moderately. This is a neutral-to-modest signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is noted. This indicates market-average sensitivity to broad moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 4.31, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the second-strongest pillar and suggests a sound balance sheet posture.

For a prospective investor, the rating points to a stock with strong return-on-capital and balance-sheet metrics but weak institutional flow and no free-cash-flow yield at the current price. The "Watch for Breakout" label suggests the rating does not yet see a decisive catalyst. The valuation tradeoff is that multiples are largely unavailable in the source data, so price relative to earnings cannot be assessed from these sources.

Business

Keros Therapeutics Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, per the company profile. Per the recent news wire, the company is associated with a Phase II rinvatercept trial in DMD and a milestone payment. Not available in source data: the specific products sold, customer base, and revenue model beyond these references.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$244.1M$67.6M$87.0MN/A$106.0M$287.4MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$3.5M$-210.8M$-187.4MN/A$-162.8M$559.9MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$0.2M$-169.9M$-153.0MN/A$-124.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 shows a turn to positive operating and net income following losses in FY 2023 and FY 2024. Per the market data, operating margin is 27.7%, net margin is 35.7%, gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is 85%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.31 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash declined from $559.9M in FY 2024 to $287.4M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Positive/neutral headlines (YELLOW): Coverage references 2027 DMD data for rinvatercept, a "Hold" rating from sell-side brokerages, a milestone payment and Phase II rinvatercept DMD trial, a BlackRock stake reported with sole voting power over 1.58M shares, and real-time movement commentary.
  • Risk watch (RED): A Simply Wall St headline notes the stock dropped to US$10.66 and questions whether insiders sold too early.
  • Per the market data, the stock closed at 11.36, down 2.15%, on volume of 205125.
  • The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply chain and no butterfly links or proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the trajectory of cash and burn after FY 2025, given cash fell from $559.9M to $287.4M and FY 2025 FCF is $106.0M while FCF yield is 0%?
  • What drove the FY 2025 revenue increase from $3.5M to $244.1M, and is it recurring?
  • What are the P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS figures, which are absent from the source data?
  • What are the specific terms and timing of the rinvatercept DMD trial and the 2027 data readout?
  • What is the debt structure, since the debt field is N/A for all periods?

KROS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Keros Therapeutics Inc. (KROS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KROS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KROS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.04?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KROS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KROS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $12.27 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KROS (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $11.36?

Welcome to the KROS (Keros Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.09 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $11.36

Pump the brakes on KROS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KROS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Keros Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.97 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $11.36

KROS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KROS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.36 (52-wk range $10.42 - $12.92), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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