Why KMPR Stock surged +10.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$32.57 +10.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.12

Kemper Corporation (KMPR) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.92B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.12 (+1.70%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (16)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$47 Bull$34 Base$26 Bear
📬 FREE KMPR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KMPR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KMPR SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (19% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$26.95+8.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$29.27-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$28.81+13.1% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$32.57+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KMPR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, KMPR faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.66) or 200D SMA ($29.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($33.89) toward Bear Floor ($26.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KMPR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KMPR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why KMPR Stock surged +10.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Kemper Corporation (KMPR) surged +10.48% to $32.57, trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($22.69 – $44.92). Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($22.69 – $44.92) with RSI-14 at 75.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.8% around $32.57 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $584.5M annual free cash flow.
Live KMPR Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KMPR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KMPR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.32%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $32.99H $33.23L $32.14C $32.57VOL 1.00M
RES: $31.55SUP: $24.22SMA50: $27.66SMA200: $29.71
$43.77$38.06$32.34$26.63$20.92RES $31.55SUP $24.22$32.572026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KMPR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KMPR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KMPR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KMPR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KMPR)

Financials Rank #247 of 1096 ⚔️ HMN vs KMPR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (KMPR vs. HMN, PLGO, SAFT, HCI)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kemper Corporation (KMPR) ranks #247 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #432 by equity capitalization ($1.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCI leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while HCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.8% ROIC and — gross margin. HCI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with KMPR at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KMPR ACTIVE
Kemper Corporation
C+ 67/100 13.4x — 5.3% +10.48% $1.92B Benchmark Subject
HMN
Horace Mann Educators Corporation
C- 61/100 11.6x — 10.9% +1.79% $1.89B /hmn-vs-kmpr →
PLGO
Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited
D 44/100 — — — +1.91% $2.26B /plgo-vs-kmpr →
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group Inc.
C 64/100 15.4x — 11.1% 0.00% $1.53B /saft-vs-kmpr →
HCI
HCI Group Inc.
B+ 76/100 7.7x — 30.8% +1.53% $2.47B /hci-vs-kmpr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000860748

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kemper Corporation (KMPR) reported GAAP revenue of $4.79B (+3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.64B , and -3.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $143.3M, operating cash flow of $584.5M, and free cash flow of $584.5M (+52.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, KMPR closed FY2025 with $12.47B in total assets against $943.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.79B $143.3M $584.5M $584.5M $12.47B $943.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.64B $317.8M $382.9M $382.9M $12.63B $941.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.94B -$272.1M -$134.2M -$134.2M — —

3. KMPR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KMPR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kemper Corporation (NYSE: KMPR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $32.57 (+10.48% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, KMPR ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KMPR compare to HMN and PLGO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), KMPR carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, HMN (Horace Mann Educators Corporation) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $1.89B) and PLGO (Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCI leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while HCI leads on capital efficiency (30.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMPR?

Per KMPR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000860748), Kemper Corporation generated $4.79B in revenue (+3.3% YoY), $143.3M in net income, and $584.5M in free cash flow against $12.47B in total assets and $943.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KMPR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KMPR last traded at $32.57 (+10.48% on volume of 1,033,555 shares), positioning the stock +17.75% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.66) and +9.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($29.71). Across its 52-week range of $22.69 to $44.92, KMPR sits at the 44.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 75.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($30.03 to $35.11).

KMPR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is KMPR stock moving today?

Why KMPR Stock surged +10.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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