Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / KDP / financials

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Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$35.30 +1.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $48.04B

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KDP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How KDP Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$1.50B (9.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $14.81B

FY24

Rev $15.35B

FY25

Rev $16.60B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$16.60B	54.2%	21.5%	$2.08B	$1.50B	7.5%
FY 2024	$15.35B	55.6%	16.9%	$1.44B	$1.66B	5.6%
FY 2023	$14.81B	54.2%	21.5%	$2.18B	$662.4M	15.8%

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KDP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.27%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-01O $34.93H $35.30L $34.93C $35.30VOL 15.21M

RES: $35.86SUP: $30.98SMA50: $32.51SMA200: $30.04

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KDP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KDP Butterfly Map → + Track KDP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KDP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KDP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KDP)

Consumer Staples Rank #18 of 43 ⚔️ CCEP vs KDP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (KDP vs. CCEP, DEO, FMX, ABEV)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 43 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) ranks #18 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #14 by equity capitalization ($48.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDP leads on earnings valuation at 23.1x trailing P/E, while CCEP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CCEP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with KDP at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KDP ACTIVE Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.	C	64/100	23.1x	54.2%	7.5%	+1.06%	$48.04B	Benchmark Subject
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc	C+	69/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.16%	$50.36B	/ccep-vs-kdp →
DEO Diageo plc	C+	66/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.68%	$50.84B	/deo-vs-kdp →
FMX Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.	C	64/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+0.47%	$42.34B	/fmx-vs-kdp →
ABEV Ambev S.A. American	D+	53/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-3.96%	$42.08B	/abev-vs-kdp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001418135

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) reported GAAP revenue of $16.60B (+8.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.35B , and +12.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.08B, operating cash flow of $1.99B, and free cash flow of $1.50B (-9.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, KDP closed FY2025 with $55.46B in total assets against $13.04B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.55, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$16.60B	$2.08B	$1.99B	$1.50B	$55.46B	$13.04B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$15.35B	$1.44B	$2.22B	$1.66B	$53.43B	$12.91B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.81B	$2.18B	$1.33B	$662.4M	$26.42B	$6.18B

3. KDP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KDP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ: KDP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $35.30 (+1.06% 1D, market cap $48.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 43 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, KDP ranks #18 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KDP compare to CCEP and DEO in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), KDP carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.1x, gross margin of 54.2%, and ROIC of 7.5%. By comparison, CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $50.36B) and DEO (Diageo plc) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $50.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDP leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while CCEP leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDP?

Per KDP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001418135), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. generated $16.60B in revenue (+8.2% YoY), $2.08B in net income, and $1.50B in free cash flow against $55.46B in total assets and $13.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KDP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KDP last traded at $35.30 (+1.06% on volume of 15,209,795 shares), positioning the stock +8.58% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.51) and +17.51% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.04). Across its 52-week range of $24.88 to $36.13, KDP sits at the 92.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($33.71 to $36.89).