MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why JVA Stock advanced +1.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.11 +1.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.11
Coffee Holding Co. Inc. (JVA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $29.2M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.12 (+0.10%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JVA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JVA SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 5.07 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.8% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$4.63-1.5% Next Q
38
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$4.56-1.8% Next Q
41
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$4.48+14.1% Next Q
43
CurrentGrade D$5.11-6.1% Hist 90D α
46
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JVA Turnaround Squeeze
While JVA currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.12) and Max Pain ($5.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.70.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JVA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JVA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why JVA Stock advanced +1.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Coffee Holding Co. Inc. (JVA) advanced +1.59% to $5.11, trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($2.93 – $5.18). Stretched risk/reward at 21x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($2.93 – $5.18) with RSI-14 at 67.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.8% around $5.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 16% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live JVA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JVA)
- ✓Walkthrough of JVA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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JVA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.89%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $5.12H $5.14L $5.00C $5.11VOL 42.5K
RES: $5.04SUP: $3.61SMA50: $4.12SMA200: $3.88
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
JVA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JVA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JVA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JVA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JVA)
Consumer Staples Rank #105 of 146
⚔️ LSF vs JVA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (JVA vs. LSF, BOF, BRLS, COOT)
Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Coffee Holding Co. Inc. (JVA) ranks #105 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #115 by equity capitalization ($29.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JVA leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while JVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. COOT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with JVA at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVA
ACTIVE
Coffee Holding Co. Inc. | D | 46/100 | 20.8x | 16.0% | 6.5% | +1.59% | $29.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| LSF Laird Superfood Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | 37.9% | -35.0% | -0.74% | $29.9M | /lsf-vs-jva → |
| BOF BranchOut Food Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | 14.8% | -35.0% | -2.25% | $33.4M | /bof-vs-jva → |
| BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. (Class A) | D- | 38/100 | — | 11.2% | -35.0% | +1.87% | $23.4M | /brls-vs-jva → |
| COOT Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -1.61% | $20.5M | /coot-vs-jva → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0001007019In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), Coffee Holding Co. Inc. (JVA) reported GAAP revenue of $96.3M (+22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $78.6M , and +41.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.4M, operating cash flow of -$5.0M, and free cash flow of -$5.2M (-201.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, JVA closed FY2025 with $41.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.07, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-10-31 | $96.3M | $1.4M | -$5.0M | -$5.2M | $41.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-10-31 | $78.6M | $2.2M | $5.4M | $5.1M | $38.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-10-31 | $68.2M | -$835.6K | $652.1K | $652.1K | — | — |
3. JVA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs JVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Coffee Holding Co. Inc. (NASDAQ: JVA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $5.11 (+1.59% 1D, market cap $29.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JVA ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.
How does JVA compare to LSF and BOF in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), JVA carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.8x, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, LSF (Laird Superfood Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.9M) and BOF (BranchOut Food Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $33.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JVA leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while JVA leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JVA?
Per JVA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001007019), Coffee Holding Co. Inc. generated $96.3M in revenue (+22.6% YoY), $1.4M in net income, and -$5.2M in free cash flow against $41.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is JVA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
JVA last traded at $5.11 (+1.59% on volume of 35,411 shares), positioning the stock +24.03% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.12) and +31.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($3.88). Across its 52-week range of $2.93 to $5.18, JVA sits at the 96.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($4.56 to $5.66).
JVA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is JVA stock moving today?
Why JVA Stock advanced +1.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 21x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.