J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$83.82 +0.54% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.10

J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (30% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.57B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.10 (+0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A-
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (18)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$105 Bull$89 Base$69 Bear
📬 FREE JJSF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JJSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JJSF SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 50% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$81.13-2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$78.75+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$83.67+0.2% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$83.82+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JJSF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, JJSF faces multiple-compression risk if 23.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.03) or 200D SMA ($81.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($89.10) toward Bear Floor ($68.73).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JJSF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JJSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
5.68% Total Yield
3.88% Cash ($3.25/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
48% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.6% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $27,387

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,556/yr
$11.1K
Yr 1
$12.2K
Yr 2
$13.5K
Yr 3
$15.0K
Yr 4
$16.5K
Yr 5
$18.3K
Yr 6
$20.2K
Yr 7
$22.4K
Yr 8
$24.8K
Yr 9
$27.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in JJSF & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on JJSF and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
JJSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.03%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $85.76H $86.55L $83.82C $83.82VOL 191.9K
RES: $83.49SUP: $77.90SMA50: $82.03SMA200: $81.45
$95.40$88.21$81.02$73.83$66.64RES $83.49SUP $77.90$83.822026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JJSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JJSF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JJSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JJSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JJSF)

Consumer Staples Rank #12 of 146 ⚔️ TR vs JJSF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (JJSF vs. TR, JBSS, MAMA, MICC)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) ranks #12 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #61 by equity capitalization ($1.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JJSF ACTIVE
J & J Snack Foods Corp.
B 72/100 23.9x 29.7% 7.9% +0.54% $1.57B Benchmark Subject
TR
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.
C+ 68/100 27.4x 35.3% 9.8% +2.32% $2.74B /tr-vs-jjsf →
JBSS
John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.
C+ 68/100 10.7x 18.0% 19.2% -14.88% $660.3M /jbss-vs-jjsf →
MAMA
Mama's Creations Inc.
C 63/100 114.4x 25.1% 17.2% -1.38% $604.9M /mama-vs-jjsf →
MICC
The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.
C 65/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.23% $11.55B /micc-vs-jjsf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000785956

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.58B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B ) , GAAP net income of $65.6M, operating cash flow of $165.1M, and free cash flow of $82.3M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JJSF closed FY2025 with $1.31B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $1.58B $65.6M $165.1M $82.3M $1.31B $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $1.57B $86.6M $173.1M $99.5M $1.35B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $0 $78.9M $172.3M $172.3M — —

3. JJSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JJSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, J & J Snack Foods Corp. (NASDAQ: JJSF) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $83.82 (+0.54% 1D, market cap $1.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JJSF ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JJSF compare to TR and JBSS in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JJSF carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, TR (Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $2.74B) and JBSS (John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $660.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JJSF?

Per JJSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000785956), J & J Snack Foods Corp. generated $1.58B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $65.6M in net income, and $82.3M in free cash flow against $1.31B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JJSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JJSF last traded at $83.82 (+0.54% on volume of 166,393 shares), positioning the stock +2.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.03) and +2.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($81.45). Across its 52-week range of $68.87 to $98.63, JJSF sits at the 50.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($79.13 to $88.51).

JJSF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does JJSF pay a dividend and is it safe?

J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) offers a 3.88% cash dividend yield ($3.25 annualized) and 5.68% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%