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Why JCTC Stock surged +2.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.82 +2.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83
Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $9.9M
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Is JCTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (NASDAQ: JCTC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $2.82 (+2.17% 1D, market cap $9.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JCTC ranks #847 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does JCTC compare to CAPS and SMJF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), JCTC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.1%, and ROIC of -18.8%. By comparison, CAPS (Capstone Holding Corp.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.5M) and SMJF (SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JCTC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while JCTC leads on capital efficiency (-18.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCTC?
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Per JCTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000885307), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company generated $41.3M in revenue (-12.4% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $23.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83 (+0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JCTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JCTC SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (33% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 72% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (28% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$2.91-0.3% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$2.90-6.6% Next Q
44
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$2.71+4.1% Next Q
42
CurrentGrade D-$2.82-7.6% Hist 90D α
39
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JCTC Turnaround Squeeze
While JCTC currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.91) and Max Pain ($2.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.49.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JCTC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JCTC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why JCTC Stock surged +2.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) surged +2.17% to $2.82, trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($1.54 – $3.32). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($1.54 – $3.32) with RSI-14 at 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.2% around $2.82 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 15.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live JCTC Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JCTC)
- ✓Walkthrough of JCTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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JCTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.88%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $2.85H $2.85L $2.72C $2.82VOL 3.4K
RES: $2.91SUP: $2.72SMA50: $2.91SMA200: $2.31
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
JCTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -12.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JCTC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JCTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JCTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JCTC)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #847 of 1011
⚔️ CAPS vs JCTC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JCTC vs. CAPS, SMJF, OLOX, GRWG)
Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) ranks #847 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #929 by equity capitalization ($9.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JCTC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while JCTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.8% ROIC and 15.1% gross margin. JCTC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 39/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCTC
ACTIVE
Jewett-Cameron Trading Company | D- | 39/100 | — | 15.1% | -18.8% | +2.17% | $9.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| CAPS Capstone Holding Corp. | E | 30/100 | — | 23.0% | -35.0% | -3.53% | $2.5M | /caps-vs-jctc → |
| SMJF SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D- | 35/100 | — | 34.6% | — | +3.36% | $42.7M | /smjf-vs-jctc → |
| OLOX Olenox Industries Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | +1.09% | $1.3M | /olox-vs-jctc → |
| GRWG GrowGeneration Corp. | E | 25/100 | — | 26.8% | -30.1% | 0.00% | $88.4M | /grwg-vs-jctc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000885307In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) reported GAAP revenue of $41.3M (-12.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $47.1M , and -23.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.1M, operating cash flow of -$6.6M, and free cash flow of -$6.7M (-213.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, JCTC closed FY2025 with $23.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.09, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-08-31 | $41.3M | -$4.1M | -$6.6M | -$6.7M | $23.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-08-31 | $47.1M | $721.8K | $6.0M | $5.9M | $26.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-08-31 | $54.3M | -$20.6K | $5.6M | $5.6M | — | — |
3. JCTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs JCTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (NASDAQ: JCTC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $2.82 (+2.17% 1D, market cap $9.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JCTC ranks #847 in composite RQD confidence.
How does JCTC compare to CAPS and SMJF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), JCTC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.1%, and ROIC of -18.8%. By comparison, CAPS (Capstone Holding Corp.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.5M) and SMJF (SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JCTC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while JCTC leads on capital efficiency (-18.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCTC?
Per JCTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000885307), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company generated $41.3M in revenue (-12.4% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $23.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is JCTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
JCTC last traded at $2.82 (+2.17% on volume of 3,496 shares), positioning the stock -3.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.91) and +22.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.31). Across its 52-week range of $1.54 to $3.32, JCTC sits at the 71.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($2.62 to $3.02).
JCTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is JCTC stock moving today?
Why JCTC Stock surged +2.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.