Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.5% Move

$4.56 +7.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.63

Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (39% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $622.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.63 (+1.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE JBI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JBI SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 12.6% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$4.18+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$4.18+6.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$4.45+2.5% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$4.56+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JBI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, JBI faces multiple-compression risk if 11.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 36.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.48) or 200D SMA ($5.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.85) toward Bear Floor ($3.74).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JBI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 2, 2027 (~61 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.5% Swing Band

±$0.34 Expected Swing
$4.22 (-7.5%)Spot $4.56$4.90 (+7.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

JBI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $0.39 • YoY Revenue Growth: -8.3%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-01-03$884.2M$53.8M$114.0M38.8%
FY 20242024-12-28$963.8M$70.4M$133.9M41.3%
FY 20232023-12-30$1.07B$135.7M$215.0M38.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating JBI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on JBI
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
JBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.31%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $4.56H $4.68L $4.54C $4.56VOL 2.18M
RES: $5.62SUP: $3.77SMA50: $4.48SMA200: $5.36
$7.93$6.86$5.80$4.74$3.68RES $5.62SUP $3.77$4.562026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
1.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBI)

Industrials Rank #50 of 485 ⚔️ BW vs JBI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (JBI vs. BW, GFF, MTEN, BRNX)

Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) ranks #50 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #284 by equity capitalization ($622.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBI leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while BW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.2% ROIC and 24.5% gross margin. JBI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JBI ACTIVE
Janus International Group Inc.
B 72/100 11.6x 38.8% 7.9% +7.29% $622.1M Benchmark Subject
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.
E 31/100 — 24.5% 48.2% 0.00% $679.3M /bw-vs-jbi →
GFF
Griffon Corporation
D 51/100 91.2x 42.0% 12.0% +3.05% $4.66B /gff-vs-jbi →
MTEN
Mingteng International Corporation Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 — 22.5% -1.6% -3.37% $6.4M /mten-vs-jbi →
BRNX
BrenX Ltd.
D- 38/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -4.90% $1.1M /brnx-vs-jbi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001839839

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) reported GAAP revenue of $884.2M (-8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $963.8M , and -17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $53.8M, operating cash flow of $139.5M, and free cash flow of $114.0M (-14.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBI closed FY2025 with $1.30B in total assets against $538.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $884.2M $53.8M $139.5M $114.0M $1.30B $538.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $963.8M $70.4M $154.0M $133.9M $1.30B $583.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $1.07B $135.7M $215.0M $215.0M — —

3. JBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Janus International Group Inc. (NYSE: JBI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $4.56 (+7.29% 1D, market cap $622.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, JBI ranks #50 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBI compare to BW and GFF in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), JBI carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.6x, gross margin of 38.8%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 48.2%, cap $679.3M) and GFF (Griffon Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 91.2x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBI?

Per JBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001839839), Janus International Group Inc. generated $884.2M in revenue (-8.3% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $114.0M in free cash flow against $1.30B in total assets and $538.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBI last traded at $4.56 (+7.29% on volume of 3,076,080 shares), positioning the stock +1.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.48) and -14.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.36). Across its 52-week range of $4.01 to $9.81, JBI sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($4.22 to $4.90).

JBI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is JBI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Janus International Group Inc. (JBI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 2, 2027.

How much is JBI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.5% event move for JBI, spanning a range between $4.22 and $4.9.

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