Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$53.38 +1.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.62

Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (50% profit margin, 55% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.06B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.62 (+0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 24.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (19)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$72 Bull$57 Base$44 Bear
📬 FREE ITRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ITRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ITRN SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.7% FCF Margin ($88.6M FCF) & 49.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$52.22-4.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$49.70+1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$50.52+5.7% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$53.38+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ITRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, ITRN faces multiple-compression risk if 18.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 47.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($51.56) or 200D SMA ($53.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($56.50) toward Bear Floor ($43.77).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ITRN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ITRN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
5.34% Total Yield
3.54% Cash ($1.89/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
27.6% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $23,892

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,276/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.9K
Yr 2
$13.0K
Yr 3
$14.2K
Yr 4
$15.5K
Yr 5
$16.9K
Yr 6
$18.4K
Yr 7
$20.1K
Yr 8
$21.9K
Yr 9
$23.9K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ITRN & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ITRN and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ITRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.33%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $53.00H $53.45L $51.74C $53.38VOL 151.0K
RES: $50.20SUP: $48.45SMA50: $51.56SMA200: $53.60
$70.09$62.68$55.27$47.87$40.46RES $50.20SUP $48.45$53.382026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ITRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ITRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ITRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ITRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ITRN)

Technology Rank #96 of 714 ⚔️ QMCO vs ITRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ITRN vs. QMCO, RELL, OPTX, CAMT)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN) ranks #96 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #349 by equity capitalization ($1.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ITRN leads on earnings valuation at 18.3x trailing P/E, while ITRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.3% ROIC and 49.7% gross margin. ITRN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ITRN ACTIVE
Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
B- 71/100 18.3x 49.7% 55.3% +1.16% $1.06B Benchmark Subject
QMCO
Quantum Corporation
D- 35/100 — 36.9% -35.0% +0.24% $818.5M /qmco-vs-itrn →
RELL
Richardson Electronics Ltd.
D 47/100 48.8x 31.2% 4.1% -0.81% $311.4M /rell-vs-itrn →
OPTX
Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D+ 54/100 — 23.3% -2.8% +0.83% $294.0M /optx-vs-itrn →
CAMT
Camtek Ltd.
D+ 57/100 116.2x 50.5% 14.3% -1.64% $5.90B /camt-vs-itrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001337117

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN) reported GAAP revenue of $359.0M (+6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $336.3M , and +12.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $58.0M, operating cash flow of $88.6M, and free cash flow of $88.6M (+19.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ITRN closed FY2025 with $386.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $359.0M $58.0M $88.6M $88.6M $386.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $336.3M $53.7M $74.3M $74.3M $326.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $320.0M $48.1M $77.2M $77.2M — —

3. ITRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ITRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (NASDAQ: ITRN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $53.38 (+1.16% 1D, market cap $1.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ITRN ranks #96 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ITRN compare to QMCO and RELL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), ITRN carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.3x, gross margin of 49.7%, and ROIC of 55.3%. By comparison, QMCO (Quantum Corporation) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $818.5M) and RELL (Richardson Electronics Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 48.8x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $311.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ITRN leads on earnings multiple (18.3x) while ITRN leads on capital efficiency (55.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ITRN?

Per ITRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001337117), Ituran Location and Control Ltd. generated $359.0M in revenue (+6.8% YoY), $58.0M in net income, and $88.6M in free cash flow against $386.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (50% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ITRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ITRN last traded at $53.38 (+1.16% on volume of 64,742 shares), positioning the stock +3.53% above its 50-day simple moving average ($51.56) and -0.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.60). Across its 52-week range of $35.22 to $68.30, ITRN sits at the 54.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($50.82 to $55.94).

ITRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ITRN pay a dividend and is it safe?

Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN) offers a 3.54% cash dividend yield ($1.89 annualized) and 5.34% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

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