Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / IQ / forecast

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iQIYI Inc. (IQ) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is IQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, iQIYI Inc. (NASDAQ: IQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $0.83 (-0.14% 1D, market cap $803.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IQ ranks #778 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does IQ compare to CNVS and BBY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), IQ carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.1%, and ROIC of 2.0%. By comparison, CNVS (Cineverse Corp. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.2%, cap $39.4M) and BBY (Best Buy Co. Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 19.7x, ROIC 26.2%, cap $21.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IQ?

Per IQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001722608), iQIYI Inc. generated $3.90B in revenue (-2.5% YoY), -$29.5M in net income, and $1.4M in free cash flow against $6.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is IQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IQ last traded at $0.83 (-0.14% on volume of 5,457,214 shares), positioning the stock -13.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.96) and -33.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.25). Across its 52-week range of $0.82 to $2.32, IQ sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($1.00 to $0.91).

Q: What is IQ's 12-month stock price target?

iQIYI Inc. (IQ) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $0.77 (-7.2% from $0.83), with a bull-case target of $2.44 and a bear-case floor of $0.6.

Q: Is IQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates IQ D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 43/100.

$0.83 -0.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.83

iQIYI Inc. (IQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $803.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.83 (-0.22%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IQ SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$1.02-6.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.95-3.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$0.92-9.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$0.83-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IQ currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.96) and Max Pain ($0.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IQ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your IQ Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $0.83: 12048.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.60

$7,229

$-2,771 (-27.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.77

$9,277

$-723 (-7.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.44

$29,398

+$19,398 (+194.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$2	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IQ)

✓Walkthrough of IQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.66%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $0.83H $0.84L $0.82C $0.83VOL 6.20M

RES: $1.50SUP: $0.81SMA50: $0.96SMA200: $1.25

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IQ Butterfly Map → + Track IQ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

1.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IQ)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #778 of 1011 ⚔️ CNVS vs IQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IQ vs. CNVS, BBY, IZM, OI)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Video Chains (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, iQIYI Inc. (IQ) ranks #778 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #535 by equity capitalization ($803.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBY leads on earnings valuation at 19.7x trailing P/E, while BBY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.2% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. BBY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with IQ at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IQ ACTIVE iQIYI Inc.	D-	43/100	—	21.1%	2.0%	-0.14%	$803.5M	Benchmark Subject
CNVS Cineverse Corp. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	—	-33.2%	-1.99%	$39.4M	/cnvs-vs-iq →
BBY Best Buy Co. Inc.	B+	79/100	19.7x	22.5%	26.2%	+3.54%	$21.05B	/bby-vs-iq →
IZM ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	3.3%	—	-3.06%	$1.8M	/izm-vs-iq →
OI O-I Glass Inc.	D-	42/100	—	17.3%	-10.0%	-6.04%	$814.4M	/oi-vs-iq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001722608

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), iQIYI Inc. (IQ) reported GAAP revenue of $3.90B (-2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.00B , and -13.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$29.5M, operating cash flow of $15.1M, and free cash flow of $1.4M (-99.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, IQ closed FY2025 with $6.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.90B	-$29.5M	$15.1M	$1.4M	$6.68B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.00B	$104.7M	$289.1M	$278.2M	$6.27B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.49B	$271.2M	$472.1M	$472.1M	—	—

3. IQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, iQIYI Inc. (NASDAQ: IQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $0.83 (-0.14% 1D, market cap $803.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IQ ranks #778 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IQ compare to CNVS and BBY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), IQ carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.1%, and ROIC of 2.0%. By comparison, CNVS (Cineverse Corp. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.2%, cap $39.4M) and BBY (Best Buy Co. Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 19.7x, ROIC 26.2%, cap $21.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IQ?

Per IQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001722608), iQIYI Inc. generated $3.90B in revenue (-2.5% YoY), -$29.5M in net income, and $1.4M in free cash flow against $6.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IQ last traded at $0.83 (-0.14% on volume of 5,457,214 shares), positioning the stock -13.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.96) and -33.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.25). Across its 52-week range of $0.82 to $2.32, IQ sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($1.00 to $0.91).

IQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is IQ's 12-month stock price target?

iQIYI Inc. (IQ) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $0.77 (-7.2% from $0.83), with a bull-case target of $2.44 and a bear-case floor of $0.6.

Is IQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates IQ D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 43/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: IQ RQD Cockpit IQ 12M Forecast IQ Earnings & Move IQ Dividends & DRIP IQ Insiders & 13F IQ Whale Options IQ Profit Sankey IQ News & Why