Stock Ratings / Financials / IOND / dividends

ASST (68) XXI (56) GBDC (51) SLM (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$69.30 +0.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.18

Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.18 (-0.18%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IOND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IOND SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 49% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$79.15-20.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$62.81-0.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$62.28+11.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$69.30-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IOND Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, IOND faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($75.50) or 200D SMA ($72.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($68.99) toward Bear Floor ($53.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IOND• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IOND Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IOND)

✓Walkthrough of IOND's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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IOND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.17%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $67.81H $69.69L $64.71C $69.30VOL 471.2K

RES: $103.4SUP: $57.79SMA50: $75.50SMA200: $72.65

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IOND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IOND Butterfly Map → + Track IOND →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IOND today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IOND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IOND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IOND)

Financials Rank #629 of 1096 ⚔️ ASST vs IOND Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (IOND vs. ASST, XXI, GBDC, SLM)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) ranks #629 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #360 by equity capitalization ($3.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLM leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while ASST leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ASST currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with IOND at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IOND ACTIVE Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	—	—	—	+0.06%	$3.12B	Benchmark Subject
ASST Strive Inc.	C+	68/100	32.8x	—	18.8%	-9.52%	$3.17B	/asst-vs-iond →
XXI Twenty One Capital Inc. (Class A)	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-1.55%	$3.22B	/xxi-vs-iond →
GBDC Golub Capital BDC Inc.	D	51/100	8.8x	—	9.6%	+2.65%	$3.32B	/gbdc-vs-iond →
SLM SLM Corporation	D-	38/100	4.5x	—	7.4%	+2.99%	$3.34B	/slm-vs-iond →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002007691

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, IOND closed FY2025 with $605.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$605.0M	—

3. IOND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IOND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: IOND) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $69.30 (+0.06% 1D, market cap $3.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, IOND ranks #629 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IOND compare to ASST and XXI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), IOND carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ASST (Strive Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 18.8%, cap $3.17B) and XXI (Twenty One Capital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while ASST leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IOND?

Per IOND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002007691), Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $605.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IOND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IOND last traded at $69.30 (+0.06% on volume of 290,080 shares), positioning the stock -8.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($75.50) and -4.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($72.65). Across its 52-week range of $50.00 to $89.36, IOND sits at the 49.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($60.98 to $77.62).

IOND Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does IOND pay a dividend and is it safe?

Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: IOND RQD Cockpit IOND 12M Forecast IOND Earnings & Move IOND Dividends & DRIP IOND Insiders & 13F IOND Whale Options IOND Profit Sankey IOND News & Why